432  
FXUS01 KWBC 220832  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
400 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2024  
 
VALID 12Z WED MAY 22 2024 - 12Z FRI MAY 24 2024  
 
...DEEP STORM BEGINS TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST/GREAT  
LAKES TODAY AS THE NEXT HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE WEATHER THREATS  
EMERGE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TOWARD THE LOWER TO  
MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TONIGHT...  
 
...HEAVY WET SNOW EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF  
THE NORTHERN ROCKIES TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY...  
 
...ANOTHER RAPIDLY DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING  
SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN THREATS INTO THE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO  
FRIDAY MORNING...  
 
AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES FROM THE WESTERN U.S. TO THE  
GREAT PLAINS WHERE UNSETTLED AND CHANGEABLE WEATHER CAN BE  
EXPECTED FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. RESIDENTS ACROSS  
THE UPPER MIDWEST INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES WILL WAKE UP THIS  
MORNING WITH A RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING LOW-PRESSURE SYSTEM PASSING  
THROUGH. MUCH OF THE HEAVY RAIN AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS  
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM ARE ALREADY MOVING INTO SOUTHERN CANADA  
AS THE STORM CENTER CONTINUES TO TAKE A NORTH-NORTHEASTERLY TRACK  
ACROSS THE WESTERN END OF LAKE SUPERIOR AND HEADING QUICKLY TOWARD  
SOUTHERN CANADA. BLUSTERY WINDS BEHIND THE DEPARTING STORM WILL  
TAKE EXTRA TIME TO SUBSIDE TODAY ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST AND THE  
GREAT LAKES. AS THE HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH  
THE DEEP STORM EXIT THE UPPER MIDWEST, THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL  
NEED TO WATCH FOR AN EMERGING THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE  
THUNDERSTORMS WHERE THE TRAILING FRONT FROM THE DEEP STORM BECOMES  
NEARLY STATIONARY. THE MOST ACTIVE WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED  
TONIGHT AS WELL AS THURSDAY NIGHT FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TOWARD  
THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, WITH A LULL IN THE ACTIVITIES  
THURSDAY MORNING.  
 
MEANWHILE, THE NEXT ENERGETIC UPPER LOW, WHICH HAD A HISTORY OF  
DIVING SOUTHEAST FROM ALASKA, IS GETTING READY TO REACH THE  
PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THE SYSTEM WILL BRING A ROUND OF WIDESPREAD  
PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE NORTHWEST, WITH HEAVY WET SNOW FALLING  
ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF IDAHO, WESTERN MONTANA, AND INTO  
WYOMING FOR TONIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY. THE SYSTEM WILL ALSO USHER  
A COLD AIR MASS THROUGH THE NORTHWEST BY THURSDAY, REACHING INTO  
THE NORTHERN PLAINS BY FRIDAY MORNING. WINDY CONDITIONS ARE ALSO  
EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE AREA, ESPECIALLY IMMEDIATELY  
BEHIND A SHARP COLD FRONT.  
 
ELSEWHERE, RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE  
SOUTHWEST. MEANWHILE, VERY WARM TO HOT WEATHER IS EXPECTED ACROSS  
MUCH OF THE EASTERN U.S. TODAY BEFORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
QUICKLY MOVE INTO THE INTERIOR SECTIONS LATER TODAY. THE  
MID-ATLANTIC STATES WILL SEE THESE SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED  
THUNDERSTORMS MOVE IN TONIGHT AND LINGER INTO THURSDAY AS THE  
FRONT BECOMES NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS THE REGION. ADDITIONAL  
MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTH IS FORECAST TO RIDE ALONG THE FRONT,  
BRINGING ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE MID-SOUTH TO  
THE MID-ATLANTIC INTO FRIDAY MORNING.  
 
ACROSS SOUTHERN TEXAS, THE HEAT IS FORECAST TO GRADUALLY INTENSIFY  
THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS, WITH HEAT INDICES POSSIBLY TOPPING 110  
DEGREES BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. RESIDENTS ACROSS SOUTHERN FLORIDA  
WILL ALSO FEEL THE HEAT GETTING MORE OPPRESSIVE AS THE WEEK  
PROGRESSES DUE TO GRADUALLY INCREASING HUMIDITY UNDER THE  
INFLUENCE OF A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WITH FAIR WEATHER CONDITIONS.  
 
KONG  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 
 
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