460  
FXUS01 KWBC 281915  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
314 PM EDT TUE MAY 28 2024  
 
VALID 00Z WED MAY 29 2024 - 00Z FRI MAY 31 2024  
 
...ACTIVE CENTRAL U.S. WEATHER PATTERN TO CONTINUE. HEAVY RAINS,  
FLASH FLOODING AND SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE...  
 
...HEAT CONTINUES ACROSS SOUTHERN TEXAS AND MUCH OF FLORIDA. HOT  
TEMPS BEGIN TO BUILD IN THE INTERIOR CALIFORNIA VALLEYS...  
 
...COOLER THAN AVERAGE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED ACROSS THE MID  
SECTION OF THE NATION AND MUCH OF THE EAST..  
 
THE VERY ACTIVE AND HIGHLY IMPACTFUL LATE SPRING WEATHER PATTERN  
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL U.S. OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.  
INITIALLY ACTIVITY WILL CONCENTRATE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE  
SOUTHERN PLAINS FROM OKLAHOMA INTO TEXAS FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON  
INTO WEDNESDAY, WHERE THERE WILL BE POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO  
PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS, LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING AND SEVERE WEATHER.  
BY LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY, A STRONG FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE  
PUSHING EASTWARD INTO THE NORTHERN TO CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. THIS  
WILL HELP FOCUS THE NEXT ROUND OF ACTIVE WEATHER FARTHER TO THE  
NORTH AS THUNDERSTORMS BLOSSOM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS EASTERN  
MONTANA, EASTERN WYOMING AND NORTHEAST COLORADO AND THEN PUSH EAST  
INTO THE NORTHERN TO CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. SEVERE WEATHER, HEAVY  
RAIN AND ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THESE  
AREAS. THE FOCUS FOR THE NEXT ROUND OF IMPACTFUL THUNDERSTORMS ON  
THURSDAY WILL THEN BE SHIFTING BACK TO THE SOUTH ACROSS PORTIONS  
OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS ACROSS EASTERN NEBRASKA, MUCH  
OF KANSAS, OKLAHOMA AND NORTHERN TEXAS. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS,  
FLASH FLOODING AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS  
THESE AREAS AS WELL.  
 
THE ACTIVE CENTRAL U.S. WEATHER PATTERN WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES  
BELOW AVERAGE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS DUE TO THE CLOUDS AND  
RAINFALL. HOT TEMPERATURES, HOWEVER, LOOK LIKE THEY WILL CONTINUE  
ACROSS SOUTHERN TEXAS AND ACROSS LARGE PORTIONS OF FLORIDA. RECORD  
HIGH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES AND RECORD HIGH MORNING LOW  
TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST  
FLORIDA OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS. RECORD HIGH MORNING LOWS ALSO  
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH AND COASTAL TEXAS WEDNESDAY AND  
THURSDAY MORNING. HEAT WILL ALSO BE INCREASING BY MID TO LATE  
WEEK IN THE INTERIOR VALLEYS OF CALIFORNIA. HOWEVER, TEMPERATURES  
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW RECORD HIGH VALUES.  
 
A BROAD MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CENTERED FROM EASTERN CANADA,  
SOUTH THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES, OHIO VALLEY AND NORTHEAST WILL  
SUPPORT BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES MID TO LATE WEEK ACROSS LARGE  
PORTIONS OF THE EAST. WIDESPREAD SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS ARE  
POSSIBLE TUESDAY FROM THE LOWER LAKE INTO THE OHIO VALLEY AND ON  
WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS INTO PORTIONS OF THE  
MID-ATLANTIC.  
 
ORAVEC  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 

 
 
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