772  
FXUS01 KWBC 312000  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
400 PM EDT FRI MAY 31 2024  
 
VALID 00Z SAT JUN 01 2024 - 00Z MON JUN 03 2024  
 
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF  
THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON  
FRIDAY, OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS ON  
SATURDAY, AND NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS/UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON  
SUNDAY...  
 
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE  
SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MIDDLE/LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON FRIDAY,  
TENNESSEE VALLEY/CENTRAL GULF COAST/SOUTHEAST ON SATURDAY, AND  
UPPER/MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS ON  
SUNDAY...  
   
..THERE ARE HEAT ADVISORIES OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS
 
 
MOISTURE STREAMING NORTHWARD OVER THE PLAINS AND A DRYLINE OVER  
WESTERN TEXAS WILL AID IN CREATING SHOWERS AND SEVERE  
THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS.  
THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE  
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS THROUGH  
SATURDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS  
ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND  
A MINIMAL THREAT OF TORNADOES.  
 
A SECOND AREA OF SHOWERS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP  
OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT  
RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE  
SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED  
WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE  
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND A MINIMAL THREAT OF TORNADOES.  
 
A THIRD AREA OF SHOWERS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO DEVELOP  
OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS  
ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER  
PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.  
THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT  
LIGHTNING, SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND A MINIMAL  
THREAT OF TORNADOES.  
 
IN ADDITION, THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CREATE HEAVY RAIN  
OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MIDDLE/LOWER MISSISSIPPI  
VALLEY. THEREFORE, THE WPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF  
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND  
MIDDLE/LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THE  
ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE MAINLY LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH  
FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS, SMALL STREAMS, AND LOW-LYING  
AREAS THE MOST VULNERABLE.  
 
ON SATURDAY, THE SAME SET-UP OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS, MOISTURE  
STREAMING NORTHWARD OVER THE PLAINS, AND A DRYLINE OVER WESTERN  
TEXAS WILL CREATE SHOWERS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE  
REGION. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF  
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS FROM  
SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE  
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND  
GUSTS, HAIL, AND A MINIMAL THREAT OF TORNADOES.  
 
MOREOVER, SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE  
TENNESSEE VALLEY/CENTRAL GULF COAST/SOUTHEAST, CREATING HEAVY  
RAIN. THEREFORE, THE WPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF  
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY/CENTRAL GULF  
COAST/SOUTHEAST FROM SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE  
ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE MAINLY LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH  
FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS, SMALL STREAMS, AND LOW-LYING  
AREAS THE MOST VULNERABLE.  
 
ON SUNDAY, A WEAK FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION ON  
SATURDAY AFTERNOON WILL ADVANCE EASTWARD TO THE NORTHERN PLAINS  
AND UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, PRODUCING SHOWERS AND SEVERE  
THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE REGION. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS  
ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE  
NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS/UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON SUNDAY. THE  
HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT  
LIGHTNING, SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND A FEW  
TORNADOES.  
 
FURTHERMORE, SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CAUSE HEAVY RAIN OVER  
THE UPPER/MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS.  
THEREFORE, THE WPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF  
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE UPPER/MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI  
VALLEY AND NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS ON SUNDAY MORNING. THE  
ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE MAINLY LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH  
FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS, SMALL STREAMS, AND LOW-LYING  
AREAS THE MOST VULNERABLE.  
 
MEANWHILE, ONSHORE FLOW AND A STEADY STREAM OF UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY  
OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL TRIGGER RAIN OVER PARTS OF THE  
PACIFIC NORTHWEST FROM EARLY SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY.  
 
FURTHERMORE, A DEVELOPING UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS  
WILL AID IN SPAWNING HEAT ADVISORIES OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS.  
 
ZIEGENFELDER  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 

 
 
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