772
FXUS01 KWBC 312000
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
400 PM EDT FRI MAY 31 2024
VALID 00Z SAT JUN 01 2024 - 00Z MON JUN 03 2024
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF
THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON
FRIDAY, OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS ON
SATURDAY, AND NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS/UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON
SUNDAY...
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MIDDLE/LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON FRIDAY,
TENNESSEE VALLEY/CENTRAL GULF COAST/SOUTHEAST ON SATURDAY, AND
UPPER/MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS ON
SUNDAY...
..THERE ARE HEAT ADVISORIES OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS
MOISTURE STREAMING NORTHWARD OVER THE PLAINS AND A DRYLINE OVER
WESTERN TEXAS WILL AID IN CREATING SHOWERS AND SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS.
THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND
A MINIMAL THREAT OF TORNADOES.
A SECOND AREA OF SHOWERS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT
RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED
WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND A MINIMAL THREAT OF TORNADOES.
A THIRD AREA OF SHOWERS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO DEVELOP
OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS
ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER
PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.
THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT
LIGHTNING, SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND A MINIMAL
THREAT OF TORNADOES.
IN ADDITION, THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CREATE HEAVY RAIN
OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MIDDLE/LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY. THEREFORE, THE WPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND
MIDDLE/LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. THE
ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE MAINLY LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH
FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS, SMALL STREAMS, AND LOW-LYING
AREAS THE MOST VULNERABLE.
ON SATURDAY, THE SAME SET-UP OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS, MOISTURE
STREAMING NORTHWARD OVER THE PLAINS, AND A DRYLINE OVER WESTERN
TEXAS WILL CREATE SHOWERS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
REGION. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS FROM
SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS, HAIL, AND A MINIMAL THREAT OF TORNADOES.
MOREOVER, SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY/CENTRAL GULF COAST/SOUTHEAST, CREATING HEAVY
RAIN. THEREFORE, THE WPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY/CENTRAL GULF
COAST/SOUTHEAST FROM SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE
ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE MAINLY LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH
FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS, SMALL STREAMS, AND LOW-LYING
AREAS THE MOST VULNERABLE.
ON SUNDAY, A WEAK FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION ON
SATURDAY AFTERNOON WILL ADVANCE EASTWARD TO THE NORTHERN PLAINS
AND UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, PRODUCING SHOWERS AND SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE REGION. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS
ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS/UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON SUNDAY. THE
HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT
LIGHTNING, SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND A FEW
TORNADOES.
FURTHERMORE, SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CAUSE HEAVY RAIN OVER
THE UPPER/MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS.
THEREFORE, THE WPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE UPPER/MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY AND NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS ON SUNDAY MORNING. THE
ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE MAINLY LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH
FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS, SMALL STREAMS, AND LOW-LYING
AREAS THE MOST VULNERABLE.
MEANWHILE, ONSHORE FLOW AND A STEADY STREAM OF UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY
OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL TRIGGER RAIN OVER PARTS OF THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST FROM EARLY SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY.
FURTHERMORE, A DEVELOPING UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS
WILL AID IN SPAWNING HEAT ADVISORIES OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS.
ZIEGENFELDER
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