692  
FXUS01 KWBC 022001  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
400 PM EDT SUN JUN 02 2024  
 
VALID 00Z MON JUN 03 2024 - 00Z WED JUN 05 2024  
 
...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF  
THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS ON SUNDAY AND A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE  
THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS/LOWER MISSISSIPPI  
VALLEY ON MONDAY...  
 
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE  
PACIFIC NORTHWEST, NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION, UPPER/MIDDLE  
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS, AND SOUTHERN PLAINS  
ON SUNDAY AND THE NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION ALONG WITH  
SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MIDDLE/LOWER MISSISSIPPI ON MONDAY...  
 
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE  
UPPER/MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS ON  
TUESDAY...  
 
...THERE ARE HEAT ADVISORIES OVER WESTERN/SOUTHERN TEXAS AND  
CENTRAL CALIFORNIA...  
 
A COLD FRONT OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS WILL BECOME  
QUASI-STATIONARY BY MONDAY. THE FRONT WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS AND  
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL PLAINS. THEREFORE, THE  
SPC HAS ISSUED AN ENHANCED RISK (LEVEL 3/5) OF SEVERE  
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THE  
HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT  
LIGHTNING, SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND A FEW  
TORNADOES. IN ADDITION, THERE IS A THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM  
WIND GUST, OF 65 KNOTS OR GREATER OVER PARTS OF THE  
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. MOREOVER, THERE WILL BE AN AREA OF  
HAIL, TWO INCHES OR GREATER, OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND  
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS.  
 
MOREOVER, SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE  
UPPER/MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS,  
CREATING HEAVY RAIN. THEREFORE, THE WPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK  
(LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE UPPER/MIDDLE  
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH MONDAY  
MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE MAINLY LOCALIZED  
AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS, SMALL STREAMS,  
AND LOW-LYING AREAS THE MOST VULNERABLE.  
 
ADDITIONALLY, SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF  
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS, CREATING HEAVY RAIN. THEREFORE, THE WPC HAS  
ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS  
OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED  
HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE MAINLY LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING,  
WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS, SMALL STREAMS, AND LOW-LYING AREAS THE  
MOST VULNERABLE.  
 
ON MONDAY, THE THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVES EAST OF THE  
DRYLINE AS UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY MOVES OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS/LOWER  
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK  
(LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS/LOWER  
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY FROM MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. THE  
HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT  
LIGHTNING, SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND A FEW  
TORNADOES.  
 
MOREOVER, THE ENERGY THAT PRODUCES THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
WILL CAUSE HEAVY RAIN OVER THE MIDDLE/LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND  
SOUTHERN PLAINS. THEREFORE, THE WPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK  
(LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE MIDDLE/LOWER  
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND SOUTHERN PLAINS FROM MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY  
MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE MAINLY LOCALIZED  
AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS, SMALL STREAMS,  
AND LOW-LYING AREAS THE MOST VULNERABLE.  
 
ON TUESDAY, THE THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DECREASE  
SLIGHTLY OVER THE UPPER/MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND CENTRAL  
PLAINS. THEREFORE, THERE WILL BE A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE  
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE AREA.  
 
HOWEVER, THE THREAT OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE OVER THE  
UPPER/MIDDLE/LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS.  
THEREFORE, THE WPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF  
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE UPPER/MIDDLE/LOWER  
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS ON TUESDAY. THE  
ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE MAINLY LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH  
FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS, SMALL STREAMS, AND LOW-LYING  
AREAS THE MOST VULNERABLE.  
 
MEANWHILE, ONSHORE FLOW AND A STEADY STREAM OF UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY  
OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL TRIGGER RAIN AND SNOW MELT OVER  
PARTS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO THE NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN  
REGION FROM SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. THEREFORE, THE WPC HAS ISSUED A  
SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE  
PACIFIC NORTHWEST THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY  
RAIN WILL CREATE MAINLY LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING, WITH  
URBAN AREAS, ROADS, SMALL STREAMS, AND LOW-LYING AREAS THE MOST  
VULNERABLE.  
 
ADDITIONALLY, THE HEAVY RAIN AND SNOW MELT WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS  
OF THE NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION. THEREFORE, THE WPC HAS  
ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS  
OF THE NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THE  
ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE MAINLY LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH  
FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS, SMALL STREAMS, AND LOW-LYING  
AREAS THE MOST VULNERABLE.  
 
MOREOVER, HEAVY RAIN AND SNOW MELT WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE  
NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION ON MONDAY. THEREFORE, THE WPC HAS  
ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS  
OF THE NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION FROM MONDAY INTO TUESDAY  
MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE MAINLY LOCALIZED  
AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS, SMALL STREAMS,  
AND LOW-LYING AREAS THE MOST VULNERABLE.  
 
FURTHERMORE, A DEVELOPING UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING WILL BUILD OVER  
CALIFORNIA AND CONTINUE OVER SOUTHERN/WESTERN TEXAS, AIDING IN  
SPAWNING HEAT ADVISORIES OVER WESTERN/SOUTHERN TEXAS AND CENTRAL  
CALIFORNIA.  
 
ZIEGENFELDER  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 

 
 
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