340
FXUS01 KWBC 080753
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
352 AM EDT SAT JUN 08 2024
VALID 12Z SAT JUN 08 2024 - 12Z MON JUN 10 2024
....THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS
OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS ON SATURDAY...
...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF
THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON SATURDAY AND THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
HIGH PLAINS ON SUNDAY...
..THERE ARE HEAT ADVISORIES OVER PARTS OF WESTERN TEXAS
A FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES WILL MOVE
EASTWARD TO OFF MOST OF THE EASTERN SEABOARD BY MONDAY. THE
BOUNDARY WILL AID IN TRIGGERING SHOWERS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS
ISSUED AN ENHANCED RISK (LEVEL 3/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER
PARTS OF THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE
HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT
LIGHTNING, SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND A FEW
TORNADOES. IN ADDITION, THERE IS AN ADDED THREAT OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS OF 65 KNOTS OR GREATER OVER PARTS OF
EASTERN COLORADO AND WESTERN KANSAS. FURTHERMORE, THERE IS ALSO AN
ADDED THREAT OF HAIL, TWO INCHES OR GREATER, OVER PARTS OF EASTERN
COLORADO.
MOREOVER, THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CREATE HEAVY RAIN
OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAIN.
THEREFORE, THE WPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY AREAS, ROADS, SMALL
STREAMS, AND LOW-LYING AREAS THE MOST VULNERABLE. RAIN WILL CREATE
MAINLY LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS,
SMALL STREAMS, AND LOW-LYING AREAS THE MOST VULNERABLE.
ON SUNDAY, UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY MOVING FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO THE
SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS WILL CREATE SHOWERS AND STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH
PLAINS. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A MARGINAL RISK (LEVEL 1/5)
OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH
PLAINS FROM SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED
WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND A MINIMAL THREAT OF TORNADOES.
THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO CAUSE HEAVY RAIN TO
DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. THEREFORE,
THE WPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS FROM SUNDAY THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE MAINLY
LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING, WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS, SMALL
STREAMS, AND LOW-LYING AREAS THE MOST VULNERABLE.
FURTHERMORE, AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES/NORTHEAST
WILL HELP PRODUCE RAIN OVER PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES AND THE
NORTHEAST THROUGH MONDAY. ANOTHER AREA OF UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY AND A
WEAKENING FRONT WILL HELP CREATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER
PARTS OF FLORIDA THROUGH MONDAY.
FURTHERMORE, UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING OVER TEXAS HELPS SPAWN HEAT
ADVISORIES OVER PARTS OF WESTERN TEXAS.
ZIEGENFELDER
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