729
FXUS01 KWBC 081945
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
345 PM EDT SAT JUN 08 2024
VALID 00Z SUN JUN 09 2024 - 00Z TUE JUN 11 2024
....DUAL THREATS OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND FLASH FLOODING THIS
EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS INTO
THE SOUTHERN MISSOURI...
...TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THE WEST AND SOUTHEAST
WHILE IT WILL BE COOLER THAN AVERAGE FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO
PORTIONS OF THE GREAT LAKES AND NORTHEAST THROUGH MONDAY...
HIGHER END THREATS FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND FLASH FLOODING
WILL EXIST THIS EVENING INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING ACROSS THE
CENTRAL U.S. ANOMALOUS MOISTURE IS ALREADY IN PLACE FROM THE
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS REGION, EASTWARD ACROSS KANSAS INTO SOUTHERN
MISSOURI NEAR A COLD FRONT IN THE REGION. THUNDERSTORMS WILL
INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF
COLORADO AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
EVENING AND FAVORABLE WIND SHEAR WILL SUPPORT SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS. THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS AN ENHANCED RISK
(LEVEL 3 OF 5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM EASTERN
COLORADO INTO WESTERN KANSAS THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING, WHILE A
MODERATE RISK (LEVEL 3 OF 4) OF FLASH FLOODING IS IN PLACE BY THE
WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER OVER SOUTHERN MISSOURI. MULTIPLE ROUNDS
OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL FAVOR THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERAL INCHES OF
RAIN THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
THE COLD FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
ADVANCING SOUTH INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND EAST INTO THE
SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC REGION ON SUNDAY, BRINGING COOLER
TEMPERATURES TO THE CENTRAL U.S. FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES ON
MONDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE ABOUT 20 DEGREES COLDER COMPARED TO THE
EXPECTED HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR TODAY. COOLER THAN AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO EXPECTED FOR THE GREAT LAKES REGION WHERE
REINFORCING COLD FRONTS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION THROUGH
MONDAY IN ADDITION TO SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
ACROSS THE WESTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN U.S., WARMER THAN AVERAGE HIGH
TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY, ALTHOUGH A BREAK
IS COMING FROM SOME OF THE EXCESSIVE HEAT EXPERIENCED OVER THE
PAST FEW DAYS ACROSS CALIFORNIA, THE DESERT SOUTHWEST AND TEXAS. A
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE WEST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
WHICH WILL BRING SOME RELIEF FROM THE HIGH TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH
AN INCREASING COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. A MARGINAL
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS (HAIL AND WIND) IS FORECAST BY THE
STORM PREDICTION CENTER OVER PORTIONS OF IDAHO, MONTANA AND
WYOMING FOR SUNDAY AHEAD OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WHICH WILL HELP
TO DRIVE THE COLD FRONT INLAND.
OTTO
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