330
FXUS01 KWBC 100759
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
357 AM EDT MON JUN 10 2024
VALID 12Z MON JUN 10 2024 - 12Z WED JUN 12 2024
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF
THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS AND SOUTHEAST ON MONDAY...
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF FLORIDA ON TUESDAY...
...THERE ARE EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNINGS/WATCHES AND HEAT ADVISORIES
OVER NORTHERN/CENTRAL CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHWEST ON TUESDAY...
A FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES TO THE GREAT BASIN WILL MOVE
EASTWARD TO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES/UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. AS MOISTURE STREAMS NORTHWARD INTO THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES/NORTHERN PLAINS, THE BOUNDARY WILL PRODUCE
SHOWERS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF WESTERN SOUTH
DAKOTA, NORTHWESTERN NEBRASKA, EASTERN WYOMING, AND EXTREME
EASTERN MONTANA. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK
(LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE
NORTHERN/CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND A FEW TORNADOES.
FURTHER, A FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE SOUTHEAST TO THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS WILL TRIGGER SHOWERS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF
SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA AND SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA. THEREFORE, THE
SPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND A FEW TORNADOES. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN
ROCKIES AND SOUTHERN PLAINS ON MONDAY. IN ADDITION, UPPER-LEVEL
ENERGY OVER THE GREAT LAKES/NORTHEAST WILL HELP PRODUCE RAIN AND
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE LOWER GREAT LAKES,
NORTHEAST, CENTRAL APPALACHIANS, AND NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT.
ON TUESDAY, SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF
THE UPPER/MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/UPPER GREAT LAKES,
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ROCKIES, AND CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS.
FURTHERMORE, THE COMBINATION OF TROPICAL MOISTURE AND UPPER-LEVEL
IMPULSES WILL AID IN PRODUCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH
HEAVY RAIN OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN FLORIDA. THIS WEATHER PATTERN
HAS LED THE WPC TO ISSUE A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL FROM TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED
HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE MAINLY LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING,
WITH URBAN AREAS, ROADS, SMALL STREAMS, AND LOW-LYING AREAS THE
MOST VULNERABLE.
ELSEWHERE, A FRONT OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC WILL MOVE ONSHORE
OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND ADVANCE EASTWARD TO THE NORTHERN
PLAINS TO THE GREAT BASIN BY WEDNESDAY. THE SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE
RAIN OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHWEST AND SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY.
FURTHERMORE, UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING WILL BUILD OVER CALIFORNIA AND
THE SOUTHWEST ON TUESDAY PROMPTING EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNINGS/WATCHES
AND HEAT ADVISORIES OVER NORTHERN/CENTRAL CALIFORNIA AND
SOUTHWEST. IT'S CRUCIAL FOR RESIDENTS AND INDIVIDUALS INVOLVED IN
OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES TO STAY INFORMED AND TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS.
ZIEGENFELDER
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP
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