902
FXUS01 KWBC 090759
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
358 AM EDT TUE JUL 09 2024
VALID 12Z TUE JUL 09 2024 - 12Z THU JUL 11 2024
...BERYL TO BRING HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING FROM THE LOWER ARKANSAS
RIVER VALLEY, NORTHEAST INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, LOWER
OHIO VALLEY AND LOWER GREAT LAKES...
...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES TO CONTINUE INTO MID WEEK ACROSS LARGE
PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST, WHILE RECORD HIGH MINIMUM TEMPERATURES
STRETCH FROM THE GULF COAST, NORTHEAST ALONG THE EAST COAST...
BERYL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE STEADILY NORTHEASTWARD FROM CENTRAL
ARKANSAS TODAY INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT AND INTO THE
LOWER GREAT LAKES ON WEDNESDAY. WHILE THE WIND SPEEDS ASSOCIATED
WITH BERYL WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES FARTHER FROM THE
GULF OF MEXICO, THE STORM WILL CONTINUE TO BE A PROLIFIC HEAVY
RAIN PRODUCER AS IT PUSHES NORTHEASTWARD. WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ALONG AND TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE
PATH OF BERYL OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS WITH RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2-5"
FROM CENTRAL ARKANSAS, ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSOURI, CENTRAL TO
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS, INDIANA INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE L.P.
OF MICHIGAN AND THEN OVER PORTIONS OF UPSTATE NEW YORK AND
VERMONT/NEW HAMPSHIRE. THESE AMOUNTS ARE FOLLOWING THE 5 TO 10+
INCHES OF RAIN THAT FELL ALONG THE PATH OF BERYL AS IT PUSHED
INLAND EARLIER MONDAY ALONG THE CENTRAL TEXAS GULF COAST. SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER
PORTIONS OF THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY TODAY FOLLOWED BY THE INTERIOR
NORTHEAST ON WEDNESDAY. A HIGHER END SLIGHT RISK (AT LEAST 25%) OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL LEADING TO FLASH FLOODING IS IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF UPSTATE NEW YORK INTO VERMONT ON WEDNESDAY. FLOOD
WATCHES ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT ALONG THE PATH OF BERYL FROM
NORTHERN ARKANSAS, NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN L.P.
MICHIGAN, AFFECTING OVER 21 MILLION PEOPLE.
NO LET UP EXPECTED TO THE STRING OF RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES BEING
SET ACROSS LARGE PORTIONS OF THE WEST. THE MID TO UPPER-LEVEL HIGH
THAT HAS BEEN ANCHORING THE RECORD RECORD HEAT IN THE WEST IS NOT
EXPECTED TO CHANGE MUCH OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, AS IT REMAINS
LOCKED IN PLACE, STRETCHING FROM SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA/DESERT
SOUTHWEST, NORTHWARD THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN AND ACROSS THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN ROCKIES. EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNINGS,
WATCHES, AND HEAT ADVISORIES ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR NEARLY
ALL OF WASHINGTON STATE, OREGON, CALIFORNIA, IDAHO, NEVADA AND
WESTERN ARIZONA. NUMEROUS RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THESE AREAS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WHERE HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL BE ANYWHERE FROM 10 TO AS HIGH AS 30 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE.
IN ADDITION TO THE RECORD HIGH DAILY TEMPERATURES, THE EARLY
MORNING LOWS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO SET RECORDS ACROSS LARGE
PORTIONS OF THE WEST OVER THE COMING TWO MORNINGS. THE MULTI-DAY
LENGTH AND RECORD WARM OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO
CAUSE HEAT STRESS TO ANYONE WITHOUT ADEQUATE COOLING AND HYDRATION.
ELSEWHERE, MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ALSO LIKELY TO REMAIN
IN PLACE ALONG MUCH OF THE EAST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. WHILE
THERE IS NOT FORECAST TO BE MANY RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES ACROSS
THE EAST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS, NUMEROUS RECORD HIGH MINIMUM
TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY FROM THE EASTERN GULF COAST, THROUGH THE
SOUTHEAST, MID-ATLANTIC AND INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. HEAT
ADVISORIES ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT ACROSS LARGE PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTH, SOUTHEAST, MID-ATLANTIC AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WITH THIS
LIKELY TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. AN EXCESSIVE HEAT
WARNING IS IN EFFECT ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN WEST VIRGINIA
FOR THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF HOT TEMPERATURES AND
HIGH HUMIDITY CREATE A DANGEROUS SITUATION IN WHICH HEAT RELATED
ILLNESSES ARE LIKELY.
KEBEDE/ORAVEC
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