430  
FXUS01 KWBC 111936  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
335 PM EDT THU JUL 11 2024  
 
VALID 00Z FRI JUL 12 2024 - 00Z SUN JUL 14 2024  
 
...STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL CHANCES  
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC THROUGH FRIDAY...  
 
...DANGEROUS AND RECORD-BREAKING HEAT TO CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE  
WEST THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK, WHILE SIZZLING TEMPERATURES  
ALSO BEGIN TO BUILD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND SOUTHEAST...  
 
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLING ALONG THE EAST COAST TODAY AND A  
DEVELOPING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST WILL HELP  
FUEL SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR MUCH OF THE EASTERN  
U.S. INTO EARLY THIS WEEKEND. THE MAIN WEATHER HAZARD ASSOCIATED  
WITH THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE RELATED TO HEAVY RAINFALL.  
INTENSE RAIN RATES ARE MOST LIKELY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN  
MID-ATLANTIC THROUGH FRIDAY, WHERE A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) OF  
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS IN EFFECT. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE  
ALSO ANTICIPATED FROM THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA TO  
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND, WHERE THE FLASH FLOODING THREAT IS MORE  
LOCALIZED UNTIL THE HIGHEST RAINFALL CHANCES BEGIN TO DIMINISH ON  
SATURDAY. REMAIN WEATHER AWARE IF TRAVELING OR RESIDING IN FLOOD  
PRONE REGIONS AND ALWAYS REMEMBER TO NEVER DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED  
ROADWAYS.  
 
RECORD-BREAKING HEAT IS SET TO CONTINUE FOR LARGE SECTIONS OF THE  
COUNTRY INTO THIS WEEKEND, WHILE ALSO REBUILDING THROUGHOUT OTHER  
AREAS. HIGHS ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY ARE FORECAST TO REACH INTO THE  
UPPER 90S AND TRIPLE DIGITS FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO GREAT PLAINS,  
WHICH COULD ALSO REACH INTO DAILY RECORD TERRITORY. THERMOMETERS  
SOARING INTO THE 110S AND 120S ARE EXPECTED IN THE DESERT  
SOUTHWEST AND TYPICAL INTERIOR VALLEY HOT SPOTS. WIDESPREAD  
EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNINGS AND HEAT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE  
WEST (OUTSIDE OF PARTS OF THE NORTHWEST), AS WELL AS SCATTERED  
THROUGHOUT THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS. HEAT IS ALSO  
FORECAST TO REBUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST BY SATURDAY AS UPPER  
RIDGING RETURNS. HIGHS INTO THE MID-TO-UPPER 90S ARE FORECAST,  
WITH HEAT INDICES INTO THE TRIPLE DIGITS WHEN HUMIDITY LEVELS ARE  
FACTORED IN. BE SURE TO FOLLOW PROPER HEAT SAFETY, WHICH INCLUDES  
STAYING HYDRATED AND LIMITING OUTDOOR ACTIVITY.  
 
ELSEWHERE, MONSOONAL MOISTURE IS ANTICIPATED TO REMAIN THROUGHOUT  
PARTS OF THE SOUTHWEST. STORMS COULD LEAD TO AREAS OF DAMAGING  
WIND GUSTS THROUGH TONIGHT IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO, AS WELL AS  
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. ACTIVE WEATHER ALSO RETURNS TO THE  
NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST BY THE WEEKEND WITH SCATTERED  
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE AHEAD OF AN  
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE  
WEATHER HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SATURDAY BY THE STORM PREDICTION  
CENTER.  
 
SNELL  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 
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