958
FXUS06 KWBC 122027
PMDMRD
PROGNOSTIC DISCUSSION FOR 6 TO 10 AND 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOKS
NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK, MD
300 PM EDT FRI JULY 12 2024
6-10 DAY OUTLOOK FOR JUL 18 - 22 2024
DYNAMICAL MODELS REMAIN IN DECENT AGREEMENT ON THE MID-LEVEL HEIGHT PATTERN.
MOST MODELS PUT A MAXIMUM 500-HPA HEIGHT ANOMALY JUST WEST OF HUDSON BAY WITH
ANOMALOUSLY HIGH 500-HPA HEIGHTS EXTENDING SOUTHWESTWARD WITH AN AXIS THROUGH
THE NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN WEST INTO THE GREAT BASIN. THE CLOSED CONTOUR ABOVE
594 DM IS SLIGHTLY LARGER THAN YESTERDAY IN THE HEIGHT BLEND, COVERING MOST OF
THE FOUR CORNERS STATES AND ADJACENT SECTIONS OF THE GREAT BASIN AND CENTRAL
ROCKIES. DOWNSTREAM, A MEAN MID-LEVEL TROUGH IS EXPECTED OVER EASTERN NORTH
AMERICA. THE MANUAL BLEND HAS A SLIGHT POSITIVE TILT TO THIS FEATURE, WITH AN
AXIS EXTENDING FROM JUST WEST OF THE NORTHEASTERN CONTIGUOUS STATES (CONUS)
INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY. DYNAMIC MODELS AGREE 500-HPA HEIGHTS WILL BE LOWER
THAN INDICATED YESTERDAY, WITH AN AREA OF SLIGHTLY BELOW-NORMAL MID-LEVEL
HEIGHTS FROM THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THROUGH CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
SECTIONS OF THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND INTO THE SOUTH CENTRAL GREAT PLAINS. IN
ALASKA, THERE REMAINS GOOD AGREEMENT THAT NEGATIVE 500-HPA HEIGHT ANOMALIES AND
TROUGHING WILL COVER MOST OF THE STATE, BUT THE ENSEMBLE MEANS DEPICT A
RELATIVELY WEAK ANOMALY FIELD WHILE OPERATIONAL RUNS OF THE EUROPEAN MODEL AND
THE GFS PLACE MUCH LOWER 500-HPA HEIGHTS ACROSS THE STATE. THE MANUAL BLEND
REPRESENTS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THESE TWO DISPARATE SOLUTIONS, WHICH BRINGS
MORE TROUGHING AND SOMEWHAT LOWER 500-HPA HEIGHTS TO MUCH OF THE STATE COMPARED
TO YESTERDAY, ESPECIALLY IN SOUTHEASTERN SECTIONS. ACROSS HAWAII, MODELS AGREE
THAT 500-HPA HEIGHTS WILL INCREASE FROM NORTH TO SOUTH ACROSS THE ISLAND CHAIN,
BUT THE GEFS AND OPERATIONAL EUROPEAN MODELS PLACE AN AREA OF SUBNORMAL HEIGHTS
JUST NORTH OF THE STATE WHILE THE OTHER TOOLS DEPICT A WEAKER FIELD, WITH A
SLIGHT RELATIVE MINIMUM NORTH OF THE STATE. THE MANUAL BLEND REPRESENTS A
COMPROMISE SOLUTION, RESULTING IN A RELATIVELY WEAK HEIGHT GRADIENT ACROSS THE
STATE..
THE TREND TOWARD SHOWING INCREASED BELOW-NORMAL TEMPERATURE PROBABILITIES OVER
PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CONUS CONTINUES TODAY. ON THE WEST SIDE OF
THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH, SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SHOULD PREVAIL, ALLOWING MILDER AIR
FROM THE NORTH TO SETTLE INTO A SWATH FROM THE CENTRAL GREAT PLAINS THROUGH
MUCH OF THE MID-ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST COAST. THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD GENERAL
AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO, BUT ARE INCONSISTENT WITH THE PLACEMENT OF
SURFACE FEATURES. THE GEFS REFORECAST FAVORS ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS
MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST WHILE, ON THE OTHER EXTREME, THE CANADIAN ENSEMBLE
REFORECAST BRINGS SUBNORMAL TEMPERATURES ALL THE WAY TO THE GULF AND SOUTH
ATLANTIC COASTS. THE EUROPEAN ENSEMBLE MEAN OFFERS A COMPROMISE, AND ITS
SOLUTION IS FAVORED AT THIS TIME. THE LIKELIHOOD OF COOLER THAN NORMAL
CONDITIONS EXCEEDS 50 PERCENT ACROSS THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI AND LOWER OHIO
VALLEYS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST ALSO SHOWS AN ATYPICALLY LARGE GAP BETWEEN THE
COOLER AIR TO THE NORTH AND THE WARMTH EXPECTED FARTHER SOUTH, REFLECTING THE
UNCERTAINTY. MEANWHILE, WARMER THAN NORMAL WEATHER IS AGAIN FORECAST FROM THE
HIGH PLAINS WESTWARD, AND ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT PLAINS TO NEAR THE GREAT
LAKES. THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST CONTINUES TO HAVE THE HIGHEST LIKELIHOOD OF ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES (OVER 80 PERCENT) WHILE THE ODDS FAVORING WARMTH ARE LOWER
ALONG THE IMMEDIATE WEST COAST DUE TO THE EXPECTED INFLUENCE OF MARINE AIR, AND
OVER SOUTHERN ARIZONA DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE TO HEAVY MONSOONAL
RAINS. UNUSUALLY HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO EXPECTED IN THE SOUTHEASTERN CONUS
TO THE SOUTH OF THE MEAN TROUGH AXIS. ENHANCED CHANCES FOR ABOVE-NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO FORECAST ACROSS FLORIDA, WHICH WILL BE FARTHEST REMOVED
FROM THE EASTERN NORTH AMERICAN TROUGH. CHANCES FOR WARMTH EXCEED 60 PERCENT
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE PENINSULA. IN HAWAII, THE WEAK MID-LEVEL
PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO FEATURE SLOWLY RISING 500-HPA HEIGHTS THROUGH THE
PERIOD, A SCENARIO THAT FAVORS NEITHER ABNORMALLY WARM NOR ABNORMALLY COLD
WEATHER. COOLER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORED FOR SOUTHERN, CENTRAL, AND
WESTERN ALASKA UNDER ANOMALOUSLY LOW 500-HPA HEIGHTS, BUT NEAR- TO
WARMER-THAN-NORMAL WEATHER IS EXPECTED FARTHER NORTH, WHERE MID-LEVEL HEIGHTS
ARE CLOSER TO NORMAL.
ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION IS FAVORED ACROSS A LARGE PART OF THE CONUS
INCLUDING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST, LOWER INTERMOUNTAIN WEST, AND FROM THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION TO THE MIDDLE AND SOUTHERN ATLANTIC COAST. MOST OF THE RAW
OUTPUT AND REFORECAST TOOLS DERIVED FROM THE ENSEMBLES DEPICT AT LEAST SLIGHTLY
ENHANCE CHANCES FOR WETTER THAN NORMAL WEATHER ACROSS THESE REGIONS. THE BEST
CHANCES FOR SURPLUS PRECIPITATION COVER MUCH OF TEXAS AS WELL AS PARTS OF THE
CAROLINA COAST AND SOME ADJACENT AREAS. A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT IS ANTICIPATED
TO MEANDER NEAR THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN CAROLINAS THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD,
SEPARATING THE EXPECTED SUBNORMAL TEMPERATURES TO THE NORTH FROM THE ANOMALOUS
WARMTH FARTHER SOUTH. THIS WILL SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR INCREASED PRECIPITATION,
ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE GUIDANCE IS A LITTLE WEAKER AND FARTHER SOUTHEAST WITH
THIS FEATURE THAN YESTERDAY. MEANWHILE, DRIER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS ARE
ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER OF THE CONUS FROM THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
EASTWARD THROUGH GREAT LAKES AND INTERIOR NEW ENGLAND. ANTICYCLONIC MID-LEVEL
FLOW FROM THE WESTERN CONUS RIDGE INTO THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH FARTHER EAST, ALONG
WITH PREVAILING SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE, IS EXPECTED TO SUPPRESS PRECIPITATION.
MEANWHILE, EXCESS PRECIPITATION IS FAVORED OVER MOST OF ALASKA, ESPECIALLY THE
NORTHERN AND EASTERN TIERS OF THE MAINLAND, AS INDICATED BY THE GENERAL
CONSENSUS OF RAW MODEL OUTPUT. THE FORECAST FOR HAWAII SHOWS WEAKLY INCREASED
CHANCES FOR WETTER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS, CONSISTENT WITH MOST GUIDANCE.
THE OFFICIAL 6-10 DAY 500-HPA HEIGHT BLEND CONSISTS OF 25% OF TODAY'S 6Z GFS
ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY 8, 20% OF TODAY'S 0Z EUROPEAN ENSEMBLE MEAN
CENTERED ON DAY 8, 35% OF TODAY'S OPERATIONAL 0Z ECMWF CENTERED ON DAY 8, AND
20% OF TODAY'S 0Z CANADIAN ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY 8
FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THE 6-10 DAY PERIOD: ABOVE-AVERAGE, 4 OUT OF 5. GOOD
AGREEMENT ACROSS THE MODELS ON THE PREVAILING MID-LEVEL PATTERN, TEMPERED BY A
WEAK SUMMER PRECIPITATION PATTERN AND DIFFERENCES IN THE PLACEMENT OF SURFACE
AND MID-LEVEL FEATURES IN THE EASTERN CONUS.
8-14 DAY OUTLOOK FOR JUL 20 - 26 2024
THE DYNAMIC MODELS GENERALLY AGREE ON THE MID-LEVEL PATTERN FOR WEEK-2, WHICH
IS EXPECTED TO BE SIMILAR TO THE 6- TO 10-DAY PATTERN, BUT LESS AMPLIFIED AND
WITH BROADER FEATURES. ABOVE-NORMAL 500-HPA HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO COVER THE
ENTIRE CONUS OUTSIDE THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, WHERE A SMALL RESIDUAL AREA
OF MEAN SUBNORMAL 500-HPA HEIGHTS IS EXPECTED DESPITE THE EXPECTATION THAT THE
MID-LEVEL TROUGH OVER EASTERN NORTH AMERICA SHOULD SLOWLY WEAKEN AND RETREAT
NORTHWARD. THE LARGEST 500-HPA HEIGHT ANOMALIES ARE FORECAST NEAR THE NORTHERN
HIGH PLAINS, WITH ANOMALOUS RIDGING EXTENDING EASTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN TIER
OF THE CONUS AND SOUTHWESTWARD THROUGH MOST AREAS FROM THE ROCKIES WESTWARD.
THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE WESTERN CONUS RIDGE IS NOT EXPECTED TO MOVE MUCH,
KEEPING A CLOSED CIRCULATION OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION, MOST OF THE GREAT
BASIN, AND THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. THE DERIVED TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION
OUTPUT FROM THE ENSEMBLES ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT TODAY, ALTHOUGH THERE WERE
SOME SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES IN THE PRECIPITATION PATTERN BETWEEN THE RAW MODEL
OUTPUT AND THE REFORECAST TOOLS. BELOW-NORMAL 500-HPA HEIGHTS SHOULD REBOUND TO
NEAR NORMAL OVER ALASKA AS THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH WEAKENS AND 500-HPA REACH NEAR-
TO ABOVE-NORMAL LEVELS BY THE END OF WEEK-2. HAWAII IS EXPECTING 500-HPA
HEIGHTS TO REMAIN STEADY OR SLIGHTLY DROP DURING WEEK-2, WITH THE OPERATIONAL
GFS AND THE GEFS FAVORING A LOCAL AREA OF SUBNORMAL 500-HPA HEIGHTS WHILE THE
EUROPEAN AND CANADIAN ENSEMBLE MEANS DEPICT A WEAKER FIELD AND GENERALLY
NEAR-NORMAL MID-LEVEL HEIGHTS, MUCH LIKE THE 6- TO 10-DAY PERIOD.
THIS PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TO FAVOR ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS MOST OF
THE WEST, WITH THE BEST ODDS FOR WARMTH EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS
THROUGH MOST OF CALIFORNIA, AND THE ADJACENT ROCKIES (OVER 60 PERCENT). THE
BROADENING, DEAMPLIFYING MID-LEVEL FEATURES ARE FORECAST TO BRING WARMER THAN
NORMAL WEATHER FROM THE WEST INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION AND NEW ENGLAND, WITH
THE AREA OF MARGINALLY COOLER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS AND HIGH SURFACE PRESSURES
SLOWLY DRIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST WHILE WEAKENING. FARTHER SOUTH, ABOVE-NORMAL
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE RESTRICTED TO THE EASTERN GULF COAST REGION AND FLORIDA.
IN ALASKA, SURFACE TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN BELOW NORMAL UNDERNEATH RISING
MID-LEVEL HEIGHTS OVER MOST OF THE MAINLAND, WITH CONDITIONS CLOSER TO NORMAL
FORECAST ALONG THE NORTHERN TIER OF THE STATE. THE WEAK 500-HPA HEIGHT FIELD
ACROSS HAWAII WILL WEAKLY FAVOR ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES THERE.
RAW ENSEMBLE MEAN OUTPUT FAVORS DRIER THAN NORMAL WEATHER FROM THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN GREAT PLAINS THROUGH THE NORTHEAST, WITH SOME INCONSISTENCY IN HOW FAR
SOUTH DRIER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS WILL BE OBSERVED. THE GEFS SLIGHTLY ELEVATED
CHANCES FOR BELOW-NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN PLAINS
AND IN A BROKEN PATTERN COVERING THE GREAT LAKES AND NORTHEAST, BUT THE
CANADIAN AND EUROPEAN ENSEMBLE MEANS, ALONG WITH THE NAEFS, SHOW A STRONGER
SIGNAL FAVORING DRIER THAN NORMAL WEATHER PUSHING AS FAR SOUTH AS THE MIDDLE
MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO VALLEYS. FARTHER SOUTH, RAW MODEL OUTPUT FAVORS SURPLUS
PRECIPITATION, ESPECIALLY OVER THE CAROLINAS OR NEARBY AREAS IN THE INTERIOR
SOUTHEAST. THE REFORECASTS FROM THE ENSEMBLES, HOWEVER, ARE SIGNIFICANTLY
DIFFERENT. THEY SHOW MUCH WEAKER SIGNALS FAVORING BOTH THE DRIER WEATHER TO THE
NORTH AND WETTER WEATHER TO THE SOUTH. RAINFALL IS PARTICULARLY REDUCED BY THE
REFORECASTS OVER THE CAROLINAS, WHERE ONLY SLIGHTLY ELEVATED ODDS FOR SURPLUS
PRECIPITATION ARE SHOWN. MEANWHILE, THE REFORECASTS INCREASE THE WET SIGNAL
ACROSS TEXAS, PARTICULARLY THE EUROPEAN MODEL REFORECAST. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST
IS A COMPROMISE, HIGHLIGHTED BY BROADLY BELOW-NORMAL PRECIPITATION ALONG THE
NORTHERN TIER FROM THE ROCKIES EASTWARD WITH THE BEST ODDS FOR DRYNESS OVER THE
NORTHERN GREAT PLAINS, WHERE SUBNORMAL PRECIPITATION IS FAVORED BY A
SIGNIFICANT PREPONDERANCE OF THE TOOLS. MEANWHILE, THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST AND
THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CONUS HAVE SLIGHTLY INCREASED CHANCES FOR WETTER THAN
NORMAL WEATHER, WITH GREATER ODDS ACROSS TEXAS AND THE EASTERN CAROLINAS, WHERE
SURFACE FEATURES SHOULD FAVOR INCREASED RAINFALL. MEANWHILE, ABOVE-NORMAL
PRECIPITATION IS FAVORED THROUGHOUT ALASKA AS DEPICTED BY MOST OF THE RAW AND
REFORECAST PRECIPITATION TOOLS, BOLSTERED SOMEWHAT IN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST DUE
TO THE MODEL’S RECENT TRENDS TO UNDERFORECAST PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE STATE.
HAWAII HAS SLIGHTLY ENHANCED CHANCES FOR ABOVE-NORMAL RAINFALL UNDER AN AREA OF
LOWER 500-HPA HEIGHTS THAN SURROUNDING LOCATIONS.
THE OFFICIAL 8-14 DAY 500-HPA HEIGHT BLEND CONSISTS OF: 45% OF TODAY'S 6Z GFS
ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON DAY 11, 25% OF TODAY'S 0Z EUROPEAN ENSEMBLE MEAN
CENTERED ON DAY 11, AND 30% OF TODAY'S 0Z CANADIAN ENSEMBLE MEAN CENTERED ON
DAY 11
FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THE 8-14 DAY PERIOD: ABOUT AVERAGE, 3 OUT OF 5, WITH
GUIDANCE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE MID-LEVEL HEIGHT PATTERN OFFSET BY
SIGNIFICANT INCONSISTENCIES BETWEEN RAW AND REFORECAST PRECIPITATION OUTPUT,
ESPECIALLY IN THE TYPICALLY WEAK SUMMER PRECIPITATION PATTERN.
FORECASTER: RICH TINKER
NOTES:
AUTOMATED FORECASTS ARE ISSUED ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. OCCASIONALLY MANUAL
INTERVENTION IS NECESSARY TO ADDRESS QUALITY CONTROL AND CONSISTENCY ISSUES. IN
THESE CASES, FORECASTS ARE MANUALLY DRAWN BUT A FULL DISCUSSION IS NOT ISSUED.
THE NOTATION FOR THE CATEGORICAL FORECAST INDICATED ON THE MAPS IS THE SAME AS
THAT IN THE TABLES: A-ABOVE N-NEAR NORMAL B-BELOW
THE TEMPERATURE MAP SHOWS REGIONS WITH > 33% CHANCE OF BEING WARMER (ORANGE,
"A"), COLDER (BLUE, "B"), OR CLOSE TO (UNSHADED, "N"). HISTORICAL AVERAGE
VALUES FOR THE CALENDAR PERIOD OF THE FORECAST (DASHES, "F"). LABELS ON THE
SHADED LINES GIVE THE PROBABILITY (> 33%) OF THE MORE LIKELY CATEGORY (B OR A).
PROBABILITY OF N IS ALWAYS < 40%.
THE PRECIPITATION MAP SHOWS REGIONS WITH > 33% CHANCE OF BEING WETTER (GREEN,
"A"), DRIER (TAN, "B"), OR CLOSE TO (UNSHADED, "N"). HISTORICAL MEDIAN VALUES
FOR THE CALENDAR PERIOD OF THE FORECAST (DASHES, "INCHES"). LABELS ON THE
SHADED LINES GIVE THE PROBABILITY (> 33%) OF THE MORE LIKELY CATEGORY (B OR A).
PROBABILITY OF N IS ALWAYS < 40%.
IN THE SOUTHWEST AND OTHER CLIMATOLOGICALLY DRY REGIONS - THERE WILL BE A
GREATER THAN 33.3% CHANCE OF NO PRECIPITATION AND OCCASIONALLY EVEN A NORMAL
(I.E. MEDIAN) VALUE OF ZERO - ESPECIALLY DURING THE DRY SEASONS. IN SUCH CASES
A FORECAST OF NEAR NORMAL IS EFFECTIVELY A FORECAST OF LITTLE OR NO
PRECIPITATION.
THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER USES 1991-2020 BASE PERIOD MEANS AS REFERENCE IN
THE CLIMATE OUTLOOKS.
THE NEXT SET OF LONG-LEAD MONTHLY AND SEASONAL OUTLOOKS WILL BE RELEASED ON
JULY 18.
ANALOGS TO THE 5 DAY MEAN OBSERVED PATTERN CENTERED 3 DAYS AGO (D-3)
FOR THE REGION FROM 20N TO 70N LATITUDE AND 175E TO 60W LONGITUDE
INCLUDE THE 5 DAY PERIODS CENTERED ON THE FOLLOWING DATES:
19790718 - 20060720 - 20060625 - 19520706 - 20030627
ANALOGS TO THE 7 DAY MEAN OBSERVED PATTERN CENTERED 4 DAYS AGO (D-4)
FOR THE REGION FROM 20N TO 70N LATITUDE AND 175E TO 60W LONGITUDE
INCLUDE THE 7 DAY PERIODS CENTERED ON THE FOLLOWING DATES:
19520705 - 19790719 - 19590721 - 20060719 - 20060623
6-10 DAY OUTLOOK TABLE
OUTLOOK FOR JUL 18 - 22 2024
STATE TEMP PCPN STATE TEMP PCPN STATE TEMP PCPN
WASHINGTON A A OREGON A A NRN CALIF A N
SRN CALIF A A IDAHO A N NEVADA A A
W MONTANA A N E MONTANA A B WYOMING A N
UTAH A A ARIZONA A A COLORADO N A
NEW MEXICO N A N DAKOTA A B S DAKOTA N N
NEBRASKA B N KANSAS B A OKLAHOMA B A
N TEXAS B A S TEXAS N A W TEXAS B A
MINNESOTA A B IOWA B N MISSOURI B A
ARKANSAS B A LOUISIANA A A WISCONSIN B B
ILLINOIS B N MISSISSIPPI N A MICHIGAN B B
INDIANA B N OHIO B N KENTUCKY B A
TENNESSEE B A ALABAMA N A NEW YORK B B
VERMONT N B NEW HAMP N B MAINE A B
MASS N N CONN N N RHODE IS N A
PENN B N NEW JERSEY B A W VIRGINIA B A
MARYLAND B A DELAWARE B A VIRGINIA B A
N CAROLINA B A S CAROLINA N A GEORGIA N A
FL PNHDL A A FL PENIN A A AK N SLOPE N A
AK ALEUTIAN B A AK WESTERN B A AK INT BSN N A
AK S INT B A AK SO COAST B A AK PNHDL B A
8-14 DAY OUTLOOK TABLE
OUTLOOK FOR JUL 20 - 26 2024
STATE TEMP PCPN STATE TEMP PCPN STATE TEMP PCPN
WASHINGTON A N OREGON A A NRN CALIF A A
SRN CALIF A A IDAHO A A NEVADA A A
W MONTANA A N E MONTANA A B WYOMING A N
UTAH A A ARIZONA A A COLORADO A A
NEW MEXICO N A N DAKOTA A B S DAKOTA A B
NEBRASKA A B KANSAS B A OKLAHOMA B A
N TEXAS B A S TEXAS N A W TEXAS B A
MINNESOTA A B IOWA N N MISSOURI B A
ARKANSAS B A LOUISIANA N A WISCONSIN A B
ILLINOIS B N MISSISSIPPI B A MICHIGAN A B
INDIANA B A OHIO N N KENTUCKY B A
TENNESSEE B A ALABAMA N A NEW YORK A N
VERMONT A B NEW HAMP A N MAINE A B
MASS A N CONN A N RHODE IS A N
PENN N N NEW JERSEY N N W VIRGINIA N A
MARYLAND N A DELAWARE N A VIRGINIA N A
N CAROLINA N A S CAROLINA N A GEORGIA N A
FL PNHDL A A FL PENIN A A AK N SLOPE N A
AK ALEUTIAN B A AK WESTERN B A AK INT BSN B A
AK S INT B A AK SO COAST B A AK PNHDL B A
LEGEND
TEMPS WITH RESPECT TO NORMAL PCPN WITH RESPECT TO MEDIAN
A - ABOVE N - NEAR NORMAL A - ABOVE N - NEAR MEDIAN
B - BELOW B - BELOW
THE FORECAST CLASSES REPRESENT AVERAGES FOR EACH STATE. NORMAL
VALUES - WHICH MAY VARY WIDELY ACROSS SOME STATES - ARE
AVAILABLE FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESSAGE FXUS06 KWBC - ON AWIPS AS
PMDMRD.
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