263  
FXUS01 KWBC 230816  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
400 AM EDT TUE JUL 23 2024  
 
VALID 12Z TUE JUL 23 2024 - 12Z THU JUL 25 2024  
 
...MAJOR TO LOCALLY EXTREME HEAT RISK WILL EXPAND ACROSS THE  
NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS AS HEAT GRADUALLY BECOMES LESS INTENSE OVER  
THE CENTRAL VALLEY OF CALIFORNIA AND THE GREAT BASIN...  
 
...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT A LARGE SECTION  
OF THE EASTERN HALF OF THE U.S. WITH HEAVY RAIN EMERGING NEAR THE  
TEXAS COAST ON WEDNESDAY...  
 
...MONSOONAL THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND  
INTO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION WITH THREAT OF LOCALIZED FLASH  
FLOODING...  
 
A SLOW-TO-EVOLVE SUMMERTIME WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS  
MUCH OF THE U.S. MAINLAND AS A MORE PROGRESSIVE PACIFIC COLD FRONT  
SWEEPS ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN PART OF THE COUNTRY THROUGH THE  
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. UNDER THIS WEATHER PATTERN, UNSETTLED  
WEATHER AND RELATIVELY COOL TEMPERATURES FOR JULY WILL CONTINUE  
ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY AS THE ONGOING HEAT WAVE  
OVER THE WESTERN U.S. WILL GRADUALLY BECOME LESS INTENSE WITH THE  
ARRIVAL OF THE PACIFIC COLD FRONT. THE STRONGER FORCING  
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT WILL PUSH THE HEAT DOME EAST OF THE  
GREAT BASIN, RESULTING IN THE EXPANSION OF MAJOR TO LOCALLY  
EXTREME HEAT RISK ACROSS THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS THROUGH THE NEXT  
COUPLE OF DAYS. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO REACH WELL UP  
INTO THE 100S OVER THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS THROUGH THURSDAY WITH  
LITTLE TO NO RAINFALL EXPECTED. MEANWHILE, THE HEAT WILL  
GRADUALLY BECOME LESS INTENSE OVER THE CENTRAL VALLEY OF  
CALIFORNIA AND THE GREAT BASIN WITH TIME. PLEASE CONTINUE TO  
PRACTICE HEAT SAFETY IN THE WESTERN U.S. AND AS THE HEAT SPREADS  
INTO THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS.  
 
IN CONTRAST, COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL ACROSS  
THE MID-SECTION OF THE COUNTRY AND INTO PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN  
U.S. WHERE A STALLED FRONT WILL KEEP PLENTY OF CLOUDS ALONG WITH  
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO  
BE POTENT BUT THEY COULD RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLOODING ISSUES FROM  
TIME TO TIME ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER STATES AND UP AND DOWN THE  
EAST COAST. A SLIGHT RISK OF FLASH FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED FOR  
AREAS JUST INLAND FROM THE WESTERN GULF STATES FOR TODAY FROM  
TEXAS TO CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. BY WEDNESDAY, A COASTAL FRONT COULD  
SET OFF HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE TEXAS COAST INTO  
SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA WHERE FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. FARTHER  
NORTH, ANOTHER COLD FRONT FROM EASTERN CANADA DIPPING INTO THE  
NORTHERN TIER STATES WILL BRING ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS  
THE GREAT LAKES TO NEW ENGLAND THROUGH WEDNESDAY. BY THURSDAY  
MORNING, THE GREAT LAKES SHOULD CLEAR OUT FROM THE RAIN BUT  
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND WILL SEE AN INCREASING CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS AS A LOW PRESSURE WAVE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.  
MEANWHILE, MONSOONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE GREAT  
BASIN AND THE FOUR CORNERS REGION WITH THE THREAT OF LOCALIZED  
FLASH FLOODING FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  
 
KONG  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  

 
 
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