614  
FXUS01 KWBC 231834  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
233 PM EDT TUE JUL 23 2024  
 
VALID 00Z WED JUL 24 2024 - 00Z FRI JUL 26 2024  
 
...MAJOR TO LOCALLY EXTREME HEAT RISK WILL EXPAND ACROSS THE  
NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS AS HEAT GRADUALLY BECOMES LESS INTENSE OVER  
THE CENTRAL VALLEY OF CALIFORNIA AND THE GREAT BASIN...  
 
...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT A LARGE SECTION  
OF THE EASTERN HALF OF THE U.S. WITH HEAVY RAIN EMERGING ALONG THE  
TEXAS COAST TONIGHT...  
 
...MONSOONAL THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND  
INTO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION WITH THREATS OF LOCALIZED FLASH  
FLOODING...  
 
A SLOW-TO-EVOLVE SUMMERTIME WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS  
MUCH OF THE U.S. MAINLAND AS A MORE PROGRESSIVE PACIFIC COLD FRONT  
SWEEPS ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN PART OF THE COUNTRY THROUGH THE  
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. UNDER THIS WEATHER PATTERN, UNSETTLED  
WEATHER AND RELATIVELY COOL TEMPERATURES FOR JULY WILL CONTINUE  
ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY AS THE ONGOING HEAT WAVE  
OVER THE WESTERN U.S. WILL GRADUALLY BECOME LESS INTENSE WITH THE  
ARRIVAL OF THE PACIFIC COLD FRONT. THE STRONGER FORCING  
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT WILL PUSH THE HEAT DOME EAST OF THE  
GREAT BASIN, RESULTING IN THE EXPANSION OF MAJOR TO LOCALLY  
EXTREME HEAT RISK ACROSS THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS THROUGH THE NEXT  
COUPLE OF DAYS. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO REACH WELL UP  
INTO THE 100S OVER THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS THROUGH THURSDAY WITH  
LITTLE TO NO RAINFALL EXPECTED. MEANWHILE, THE HEAT WILL  
GRADUALLY BECOME LESS INTENSE OVER THE CENTRAL VALLEY OF  
CALIFORNIA AND THE GREAT BASIN WITH TIME. PLEASE CONTINUE TO  
PRACTICE HEAT SAFETY IN THE WESTERN U.S. AND AS THE HEAT SPREADS  
INTO THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS.  
 
IN CONTRAST, COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL ACROSS  
THE MID-SECTION OF THE COUNTRY AND INTO PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN  
U.S. WHERE A STALLED FRONT WILL KEEP PLENTY OF CLOUDS ALONG WITH  
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO  
BE SEVERE BUT THEY COULD RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLOODING ISSUES FROM  
TIME TO TIME ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIER STATES AND UP AND DOWN THE  
EAST COAST. A SLIGHT RISK OF FLASH FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED FROM  
SOUTHEAST TEXAS INTO PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY  
WHILE ANOTHER IS IN EFFECT FROM THE CAROLINAS INTO INTERIOR  
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THURSDAY. TONIGHT, A COASTAL  
FRONT COULD SET OFF HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE TEXAS  
COAST INTO SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA WHERE FLASH FLOODING IS  
POSSIBLE. FARTHER NORTH, ANOTHER COLD FRONT FROM EASTERN CANADA  
DIPPING INTO THE NORTHERN TIER STATES WILL BRING ADDITIONAL  
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TO NEW ENGLAND THROUGH  
WEDNESDAY. BY THURSDAY MORNING, THE GREAT LAKES SHOULD CLEAR OUT  
FROM THE RAIN BUT NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND WILL SEE AN INCREASING  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS A LOW PRESSURE WAVE  
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. MEANWHILE, MONSOONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL  
CONTINUE ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND THE FOUR CORNERS REGION WITH  
THE THREAT OF LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF  
DAYS.  
 
KEBEDE/KONG  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 
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