015  
FXUS01 KWBC 121932  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
331 PM EDT MON AUG 12 2024  
 
VALID 00Z TUE AUG 13 2024 - 00Z THU AUG 15 2024  
 
...HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING THREAT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE  
CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY...  
 
...HEAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN U.S. FROM THE SOUTHERN  
PLAINS, THE GULF COAST AND INTO THE SOUTHEAST AND FLORIDA...  
 
...BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE WEST AND PORTIONS OF THE  
CENTRAL AND EASTERN U.S...  
 
...A CONTINUED FIRE WEATHER THREAT AND POOR AIR QUALITY FOR  
PORTIONS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST, NORTHERN ROCKIES AND GREAT  
BASIN...  
 
A SLOW MOVING FRONTAL BOUNDARY STRETCHING NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST  
ACROSS THE NORTHERN-CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI  
VALLEY WILL CONTINUE BE THE FOCUS FOR ACTIVE SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE NEXT ROUND OF HEAVY  
RAINS TO THE EAST OF THIS FRONT EXPECTED TO FORM LATE MONDAY NIGHT  
INTO EARLY TUESDAY OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS ACROSS EASTERN  
COLORADO AND THEN PUSH EASTWARD EARLY TUESDAY THROUGH KANSAS AND  
INTO WESTERN MISSOURI. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY YET ANOTHER AREA  
OF POTENTIALLY HEAVY RAINS TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY FROM  
NORTHEAST COLORADO, SOUTHERN NEBRASKA INTO MUCH OF MISSOURI. WITH  
THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE THAN ONE ROUND OF HEAVY RAINS TO MOVE  
ACROSS THE SAME REGIONS, FLASH AND RIVER FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE  
FROM EASTERN COLORADO, ACROSS PORTIONS OF KANSAS AND INTO  
MISSOURI.  
 
IN THE REGIONS OF ACTIVE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS,  
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW AVERAGE. BELOW AVERAGE  
TEMPERATURES AND LOWER HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT TWO  
DAYS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EAST FROM THE SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC  
INTO NEW ENGLAND. ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES TO CONTINUE ACROSS  
THE SOUTHERN TIER OF THE NATION FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS, EAST  
ACROSS THE GULF COAST, SOUTHEAST AND FLORIDA. WHILE THERE IS NOT  
EXPECTED TO BE MANY RECORD HIGHS ACROSS THESE REGIONS OVER THE  
NEXT TWO DAYS, THE HOT TEMPERATURES AND HIGH LEVELS OF HUMIDITY  
ARE RESULTING IN HEAT ADVISORIES ACROSS MUCH OF THESE REGIONS,  
AFFECTING NEARLY 37 MILLION PEOPLE.  
 
BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ALSO ON TAP OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS FOR  
MOST AREAS FROM THE ROCKIES TO THE WEST COAST. MONSOONAL SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE FROM THE DESERT SOUTHWEST INTO THE  
ROCKIES WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING. DRY  
WEATHER EXPECTED ALONG THE WEST COAST FROM CALIFORNIA INTO THE  
PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND THE GREAT BASIN. THIS WILL CONTINUE THE  
ONGOING FIRE WEATHER THREAT ACROSS THESE AREAS, ALONG WITH POOR  
AIR QUALITY FROM ONGOING WILD FIRES.  
 
ORAVEC  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 
 
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