217  
FXUS01 KWBC 060740  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
340 AM EDT FRI SEP 06 2024  
 
VALID 12Z FRI SEP 06 2024 - 12Z SUN SEP 08 2024  
 
...DANGEROUS HEAT CONTINUES TO IMPACT LARGE SECTIONS OF THE WEST  
INTO THIS WEEKEND...  
 
...HEAVY RAIN AND INSTANCES OF FLASH FLOODING ARE LIKELY  
THROUGHOUT THE CENTRAL GULF COAST AND SOUTHEAST OVER THE NEXT FEW  
DAYS...  
 
...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE FROM THE  
OHIO VALLEY TO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES TODAY...  
 
AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AIDING  
WELL ABOVE AVERAGE AND POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS TEMPERATURES  
THROUGHOUT THE WEST INTO THE FIRST FULL WEEKEND OF SEPTEMBER.  
HIGHS TODAY ARE FORECAST TO SOAR INTO THE TRIPLE DIGITS FOR MUCH  
OF THE SOUTHWEST AND INTERIOR CALIFORNIA, WITH 110S IN THE  
TYPICALLY HOTTEST LOCATIONS OF THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. MEANWHILE,  
DAILY HIGH TEMPERATURE RECORDS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NORTHWEST WHERE  
MID-TO-UPPER 90S ARE IN THE FORECAST. A MINIMAL RELAXING OF THE  
EXTREME HEAT SHOULD BE FELT THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE WEST AND  
SOUTHWEST ON SATURDAY, BUT WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING ABOVE  
AVERAGE. THE CORE OF THE ANOMALOUS HEAT WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHERN  
GREAT BASIN AND NORTHERN ROCKIES AS PARTS OF EASTERN OREGON AND  
WASHINGTON EXPERIENCE ANOTHER DAY WITH HIGHS WELL INTO THE 90S.  
POOR AIR QUALITY WILL ALSO REMAIN AN ISSUE THROUGHOUT PARTS OF THE  
NORTHERN GREAT BASIN AS WILDFIRE SMOKE CONTINUES TO PLAGUE THE  
REGION. RESIDENTS AND VISORS ARE ADVISED TO FOLLOW PROPER HEAT  
SAFETY, WHICH INCLUDES CHECKING ON VULNERABLE INDIVIDUALS.  
 
NOT MUCH HEAVY PRECIPITATION TO SPEAK OF THROUGHOUT THE NATION  
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS BESIDES ALONG THE GULF COAST AND PARTS OF  
THE SOUTHEAST. A LINGERING STATIONARY FRONT AND A COUPLE WAVES OF  
LOW PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR TROPICAL DOWNPOURS OVER  
ALREADY SATURATED SOILS. THE GREATEST THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL  
TURNING INTO FLASH FLOODING IMPACTS ARE FORECAST ACROSS SOUTHEAST  
LOUISIANA TODAY, WHERE A MODERATE RISK (LEVEL 3/4) OF EXCESSIVE  
RAINFALL HAS BEEN ISSUED. SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN OCCURRING WITHIN  
A VERY SHORT PERIOD OF TIME COULD LEAD TO NUMEROUS FLASH FLOODS  
HERE. A SCATTERED FLASH FLOOD THREAT ALSO EXTENDS EASTWARD ALONG  
AND JUST NORTH OF THE STATIONARY FRONT INTO NORTHERN FLORIDA AND  
SOUTHERN GEORGIA. THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY  
SINK SOUTHWARD BY SATURDAY AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE EXITS OFF  
THE SOUTHEAST COASTLINE, WITH A PERSISTING ISOLATED FLASH FLOOD  
POTENTIAL EXTENDING FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST AND NORTHERN  
FLORIDA TO THE COASTAL CAROLINAS. REMEMBER, MOST FLOOD FATALITIES  
OCCUR WITHIN VEHICLES... TURN AROUND, DON'T DROWN.  
 
ELSEWHERE, A COLD FRONT SWEEPING ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY AND LOWER  
GREAT LAKES WILL USHER IN BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT  
THE GREAT LAKES, MIDWEST, BEFORE REACHING THE EAST COAST BY THIS  
WEEKEND, WHILE ALSO PRODUCING AREAS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
A FEW STORMS COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL TODAY IN  
THE OHIO VALLEY AND NEARBY LAKE ERIE REGION. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE  
EXPECTED TO PROGRESS EASTWARD ALONG THE COLD FRONT ON SATURDAY AND  
DAMPEN WEEKEND PLANS THROUGHOUT THE INTERIOR NORTHEAST AND  
SECTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND BY SATURDAY EVENING.  
 
SNELL  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 
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