110  
FXUS01 KWBC 210802  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
400 AM EDT SAT SEP 21 2024  
 
VALID 12Z SAT SEP 21 2024 - 12Z MON SEP 23 2024  
 
...THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE FOCUSED  
ACROSS THE CENTRAL U.S. AND INTO MIDWEST FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF  
DAYS...  
 
...A SLOW-MOVING COASTAL STORM WILL BRING ANOTHER RAINY DAY TODAY  
ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND AND COASTAL FLOODING DURING HIGH  
TIDES FOR THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC COAST...  
 
...MUCH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES SURGE INTO THE CENTRAL HIGH  
PLAINS ON SUNDAY AS ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES SHIFT EAST FROM THE  
PLAINS INTO THE OHIO AND MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...  
 
MOST OF THE ACTIVE WEATHER FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WILL BE  
FOCUSED ACROSS THE CENTRAL U.S. AND WILL SLOWLY SHIFT EAST INTO  
THE MIDWEST BY MONDAY MORNING. THIS IS IN RESPONSE TO A VIGOROUS  
UPPER-LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT WILL SWING ACROSS THE  
SOUTHWEST TODAY AND THEN INTERACT WITH A SURGE OF COOL AIR DOWN  
FROM WESTERN CANADA. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP  
QUICKLY LATER TODAY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS WHERE SEVERE  
WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE AS A COLD FRONT SURGES SOUTH AND CLASHES  
WITH WARM AND MOIST AIR LIFTED NORTHWARD BY THE UPPER LOW. BY  
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY, THE MAIN ACTIVITIES WILL THEN  
GRADUALLY SHIFT EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS TOWARD THE  
MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AS LOW PRESSURE WAVES FORM ALONG THE FRONT.  
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY MORNING WILL SEE THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY RAIN  
SHIFTING FARTHER EAST INTO THE MIDWEST AND TOWARD THE OHIO VALLEY.  
MEANWHILE, COLDER AIR BEHIND THE SYSTEM WILL CHANGE THE RAIN INTO  
WET SNOW ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF COLORADO ROCKIES SATURDAY  
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS CAN  
ALSO BE EXPECTED FARTHER NORTH NEAR/BEHIND THE COLD FRONT ACROSS  
THE NORTHERN PLAINS TODAY, INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST TONIGHT,  
FOLLOWED BY THE UPPER MIDWEST AND THE GREAT LAKES SUNDAY INTO  
MONDAY MORNING.  
 
TEMPERATURES WILL FALL PRECIPITOUSLY ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE COLD  
FRONT OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS AND CENTRAL PLAINS  
BEGINNING SATURDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S WILL REPRESENT  
15 TO 30 DEGREE DEPARTURES FROM AVERAGE FOR THE AFOREMENTIONED  
AREAS. ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE  
MIDWEST AND SOUTHEAST THIS WEEKEND AS UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING  
EXTENDING FROM MEXICO INTO TEXAS REMAINS IN PLACE. ELSEWHERE, A  
SLOW-MOVING COASTAL STORM WILL BRING ANOTHER RAINY DAY ACROSS  
SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND WITH COASTAL FLOODING DURING HIGH TIDES  
FOR THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC COAST FOR TODAY BEFORE THE STORM  
SLOWLY MOVES OUT INTO THE ATLANTIC ON SUNDAY.  
 
KONG/KEBEDE  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 
 
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