659  
FXUS01 KWBC 220805  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
400 AM EDT SUN SEP 22 2024  
 
VALID 12Z SUN SEP 22 2024 - 12Z TUE SEP 24 2024  
 
...A LOW PRESSURE WAVE WILL BRING SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE SEVERE  
WEATHER ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS THIS MORNING...  
 
...ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAIN AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO  
STRETCH FROM THE SOUTH-CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH THE MID-MISSISSIPPI  
VALLEY, MIDWEST, AND INTO THE OHIO VALLEY FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF  
DAYS...  
 
...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS THE  
INTERIOR MID-ATLANTIC THIS MORNING...  
 
MUCH OF THE ACTIVE WEATHER FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WILL  
CONTINUE TO BE FOCUSED IN THE VICINITY OF A SLOW-MOVING FRONTAL  
BOUNDARY STRETCHING FROM THE SOUTH-CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH THE  
MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, MIDWEST, AND INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. THE  
STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO TRAVERSE THE TEXAS AND  
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES EARLY THIS MORNING, AND THEN WEAKEN DURING THE  
DAY AS THEY MOVE FARTHER EAST. ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAIN AND EMBEDDED  
THUNDERSTORMS CAN ALSO BE FOUND THIS MORNING ACROSS THE CENTRAL  
PLAINS INTO THE MIDWEST, FOLLOWED BY ADDITION SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS FORMING AND MOVING ACROSS LOWER MICHIGAN DURING THE  
DAY TODAY.  
 
BY MONDAY, A LOW PRESSURE WAVE IS FORECAST TO ORGANIZE ALONG THE  
FRONT AND MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE SOUTH-CENTRAL PLAINS. SHOWERS  
AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED TO ACCOMPANY THE LOW AS  
WELL AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. BY TUESDAY MORNING, SHOWERS AND  
EMBEDDED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE  
MIDWEST TOWARD THE OHIO VALLEY AS THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER TRACKS  
ACROSS THE REGION.  
 
ACROSS THE INTERIOR MID-ATLANTIC, A SUBTLE UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE  
IS DELIVERING A ROUND OF HEAVY RAIN WITH STRONG TO LOCALLY SEVERE  
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH THIS MORNING. MEANWHILE,  
RECENT WET WEATHER IN THE VICINITY OF CAPE COD IS LINGERING INTO  
THIS MORNING. AS THE SLOW-MOVING COASTAL CYCLONE BEGINS TO SLIDE  
FURTHER OUT INTO THE ATLANTIC, THE RAIN IS FORECAST TO END DURING  
THE DAY TODAY.  
 
THE HIGH-ELEVATION OF CENTRAL COLORADO IS WAKING UP TO SOME WET  
SNOW DUE TO AN INFLUX OF COLDER AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW.  
THE UPPER LOW WILL LIFT INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS, ALLOWING MUCH  
OF THE WESTERN U.S. TO REMAIN DRY FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH  
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES. COLDER AIR WILL SURGE DOWN THE PLAINS  
BEHIND THE FRONT BUT 90S WILL BE COMMON IN THE AFTERNOON ACROSS  
THE SOUTH INTO THE INTERIOR EASTERN U.S. AHEAD OF THE FRONT.  
 
KONG  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 
 
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