885
FXUS01 KWBC 021933
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
332 PM EDT WED OCT 02 2024
VALID 00Z THU OCT 03 2024 - 00Z SAT OCT 05 2024
...THERE ARE EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNINGS AND HEAT ADVISORIES OVER
PARTS OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND THE SOUTHWEST...
...MOISTURE AND THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURNS
TO THE GULF COAST...
THE BIG WEATHER STORYLINE IS THE CONTINUATION OF A VERY HOT
SUMMER/EARLY FALL FOR THE SOUTHWEST U.S. MOST OF THE SOUTHERN
DESERTS OF CALIFORNIA AND ARIZONA ARE UNDER AN EXCESSIVE HEAT
WARNING. THE CENTRAL VALLEY IN CALIFORNIA IS ALSO QUITE HOT AND
EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNINGS AND HEAT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT. IN THE
SOUTHERN DESERTS, HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 100S AND EVEN LOW 110S
WILL BE COMMONPLACE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THE CENTRAL
VALLEY OF CALIFORNIA CAN EXPECT TO SEE HIGHS IN THE 100S.
REMEMBER, HEAT IS THE DEADLIEST WEATHER PHENOMENON IN THE U.S.!
PEOPLE SPENDING MORE TIME OUTDOORS OR IN A BUILDING WITHOUT
COOLING ARE AT AN INCREASED RISK OF HEAT-RELATED ILLNESS. VISIT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SAFETY/HEAT AND CHECK LOCAL MEDIA AND GOVERNMENT
WEBSITES FOR INFORMATION ON COOLING CENTERS.
THE GULF COAST AND FLORIDA PENINSULA WILL SEE THE RETURN OF
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY THURSDAY AND PERSIST INTO
THE WEEKEND AS MOISTURE STREAMS NORTHWARD WITH AN AREA OF
DISTURBED WEATHER IN THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE DAY 1-3 QPF FORECAST
DOES ALLOW FOR SOME AREAS TO SEE A COUPLE OF INCHES OF RAINFALL,
BUT THERE IS NOT A SOLID SIGNAL IN THE MODELS FOR ANY LOCALIZED
AREAS TO SEE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OR FLOODING THREAT AT LEAST IN THE
SHORT TERM. HOWEVER, DISTURBED WEATHER DOES LOOK TO PERSIST IN THE
GULF OF MEXICO BEYOND THE SHORT TERM OUTLOOK.
LOOKING ACROSS THE REST OF THE NATION, A COLD FRONT SHOULD DIE OUT
ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S. AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA, BUT SHOULD
HOPEFULLY BRING SOME CLEARING CONDITIONS TO A RATHER SOGGY
MID-ATLANTIC AND APPALACHIA FOR THURSDAY. HIGHS SHOULD BE PLEASANT
AND MILDLY ABOVE AVERAGE IN THE MIDDLE 70S. A COLD FRONT SHOULD
MOVE OUT OF THE HIGH PLAINS AND SWEEP THROUGH THE CENTRAL PART OF
THE COUNTRY AND BRING A BRIEF COOL DOWN AS HIGH TEMPERATURES FALL
INTO THE 70S. THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL AID IN GUSTY WINDS AND
ELEVATED FIRE DANGER THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE FRONT WILL THEN
PROGRESS EASTWARD AND BRING THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS BY SATURDAY
ACROSS THE NORTHEAST. THE TEMPERATURES IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND
TEXAS WILL REMAIN WARM AND ABOVE AVERAGE AS MANY LOCATIONS WILL
SEE HIGHS IN THE MIDDLE 90S.
LASTLY, FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY, THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL SEE THE
RETURN OF RAIN AS THE NEXT AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND ACCOMPANIED
COLD FRONT ENTERS THE REGION.
WILDER
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