212
FXUS01 KWBC 040755
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
354 AM EDT FRI OCT 04 2024
VALID 12Z FRI OCT 04 2024 - 12Z SUN OCT 06 2024
...RECORD-BREAKING HEAT REMAINS ACROSS CALIFORNIA AND THE
SOUTHWEST THROUGH THIS WEEKEND, WHILE ALSO BUILDING INTO THE
CENTRAL UNITED STATES ON SATURDAY...
...STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FORECAST
THROUGHOUT THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN, NORTHERN ROCKIES, AND INTO
THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS...
...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS THE IMMEDIATE GULF COAST AS
UNSETTLED WEATHER DEVELOPS IN THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A FALL HEATWAVE WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND OVER PORTIONS OF
THE DESERT SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL/SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AS A
PERSISTENT TREND OF UPPER-RIDGING OVER THE REGION REMAINS IN
PLACE. NUMEROUS RECORD-TYING/BREAKING HIGHS ARE FORECAST AS
TEMPERATURES SOAR ONCE AGAIN INTO THE UPPER 90S TO 100S.
HEAT-RELATED ADVISORIES/WARNINGS ARE IN PLACE AS THE HEAT REMAINS
AT LEVELS DANGEROUS TO ANYONE WITHOUT ADEQUATE COOLING OR
HYDRATION. WHILE NOT QUITE AS HOT, TEMPERATURES WILL STILL BE
WELL-ABOVE AVERAGE FRIDAY ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE INTERIOR WEST, WITH
HIGHS WELL INTO THE 80S FOR MANY LOCATIONS ACROSS THE
NORTHERN/CENTRAL ROCKIES AND GREAT BASIN. A COLD FRONT WILL BRING
COOLER, MORE FALL-LIKE TEMPERATURES TO THE NORTHERN GREAT
BASIN/ROCKIES ON SATURDAY. HIGHER HEIGHTS WILL ALSO EXPAND
EASTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES ON SATURDAY HELPING TO
SPREAD MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES INTO PORTIONS OF THE
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST. FORECAST HIGHS IN THE
80S TO LOW 90S IN THE UPPER MIDWEST AND AS HIGH AS THE MID-90S IN
THE CENTRAL PLAINS ARE UPWARDS OF 20 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE, WITH
RECORD-TYING/BREAKING HIGHS POSSIBLE HERE AS WELL.
A FAST-MOVING UPPER-LEVEL WAVE/ACCOMPANYING SURFACE FRONTAL SYSTEM
WILL PASS ALONG THE NORTHERN TIER OF THE WEST AND INTO THE CENTRAL
U.S. OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. SOME MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST ON FRIDAY,
WITH SOME LIGHTER SHOWERS INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. ADDITIONAL
SHOWERS/STORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THE SYSTEM AS IT REACHES THE UPPER
GREAT LAKES LATER SATURDAY AND INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS
SUNDAY. HOWEVER, THE BIGGER STORY WILL BE WIDESPREAD GUSTY WINDS
AND HIGH FIRE DANGER WITH THE FAST MOVING SYSTEM AS IT PASSES
THROUGH THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN/ROCKIES FRIDAY AND INTO THE
NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS SATURDAY. WIND-RELATED WATCHES AND WARNINGS
HAVE BEEN ISSUED AS GUSTS HIGHER THAN 60 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED,
LEADING TO RISK OF BLOWING DEBRIS, POTENTIAL PROPERTY DAMAGE, AND
ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES, AS WELL AS DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH-PROFILE VEHICLES. IN ADDITION, THE GUSTY WINDS
AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT WITH
THE SYSTEM WILL BRING AN INCREASED THREAT FOR WILDFIRES. THE STORM
PREDICTION CENTER HAS HIGHLIGHTED A CRITICAL RISK (LEVEL 2/3) OF
FIRE WEATHER OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN AND
CENTRAL/EASTERN WYOMING FRIDAY, AND THE CENTRAL ROCKIES INTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS ON SATURDAY. MUCH OF THE REST OF THE REGION IS
UNDER RED FLAG WARNINGS AND FIRE WEATHER WATCHES.
ENHANCED TROPICAL MOISTURE ALONG THE GULF COAST WILL LEAD TO
PERIODS OF MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY SHOWERS FOR THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. THE LACK OF A FOCUSING SYSTEM/BOUNDARY AND SCATTERED NATURE
OF THE STORMS CURRENTLY SUGGESTS A LOW RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING,
BUT AN ISOLATED INSTANCE OR TWO OF FLASH FLOODING CANNOT BE RULED
OUT. ELSEWHERE, SOME LIGHT TO MODERATE SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED
WITH A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE THROUGH THE NORTHEAST LATE
FRIDAY/EARLY SATURDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY BE AT TO A
BIT ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THE EASTERN U.S., WITH WIDESPREAD 70S TO THE
NORTH AND 80S IN THE SOUTH.
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