203
FXUS01 KWBC 082019
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
419 PM EDT TUE OCT 08 2024
VALID 00Z WED OCT 09 2024 - 00Z FRI OCT 11 2024
... MAJOR HURRICANE MILTON IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE
WEST COAST OF FLORIDA LATE WEDNESDAY EVENING...
...MILTON WILL BRING LIFE-THREATENING IMPACTS TO MUCH OF FLORIDA
INCLUDING A DESTRUCTIVE STORM SURGE, DEVASTATING HURRICANE-FORCE
WINDS, AND CONSIDERABLE FLASH AND URBAN FLOODING...
...UNSEASONABLY HOT TEMPERATURES EXPAND OVER MUCH OF THE WESTERN
AND CENTRAL U.S., SOME RECORD-TYING/BREAKING HIGHS POSSIBLE...
HURRICANE MILTON IS A STRONG, MAJOR HURRICANE NORTHEAST OF THE
YUCATAN AS OF THIS AFTERNOON ACCORDING TO THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER. MILTON LOOKS TO MAKE LANDFALL SOMEWHERE ALONG THE
WEST-CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST LATE WEDNESDAY EVENING OR EARLY
THURSDAY, BUT IMPACTS WILL EXTEND ACROSS MUCH OF THE STATE AS IT
MOVES INLAND.THIS INCLUDES BUT IS NOT LIMITED TO TAMPA-ST.
PETERSBURG, SARASOTA-BRADENTON, CAPE CORAL-FORT MYERS,
LAKELAND-WINTER HAVEN, ORLANDO, AND MELBOURNE. IN ADDITION TO
POSSIBLE SUSTAINED MAJOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS, A LARGE AREA OF
DESTRUCTIVE, POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC STORM SURGE WILL OCCUR ALONG
THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA ON WEDNESDAY OR EARLY THURSDAY, WITH THE
HIGHEST PEAK SURGE FORECAST TO BE BETWEEN 10-15 FEET IN THE TAMPA
BAY AREA SOUTH TO CHARLOTTE HARBOR. AREAS SOUTH AND NORTH FROM THE
NATURE COAST TO THE EVERGLADES MAY ALSO EXPECT POSSIBLE STORM
SURGE IMPACTS. STORM SURGE IS A BIG DEAL; COMPLETE PREPARATIONS BY
TODAY AND LISTEN TO LOCAL OFFICIALS ON ORDERS. THE THREAT OF FRESH
WATER FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAIN HAS INCREASED SINCE MONDAY. MOST OF
THE REGION AROUND TAMPA BAY TO THE EAST COAST ALONG AND NORTH OF
THE I4 CORRIDOR ARE UNDER A HIGH RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AND
REPRESENTS A LEVEL 4/4 FOR THE THREAT OF WIDESPREAD FLOODING.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6-12 INCHES, WITH LOCALIZED TOTALS UP TO 18
INCHES, ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA THROUGH
THURSDAY. RIVER FLOODING AFTER THE STORM WILL ALSO BE A
POSSIBILITY. MOREOVER, THE OUTER BANDS OF MILTON WILL BE CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING SEVERE WEATHER. THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS MUCH
OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH FLORIDA UNDER A SLIGHT RISK ON WEDNESDAY FOR
THE THREAT OF TORNADOES AND WATERSPOUTS EMBEDDED IN TROPICAL
RAINBANDS. KEEP CHECKING THE LATEST FORECAST FROM THE NHC, WPC,
AND YOUR LOCAL NWS FORECAST OFFICE FOR THE MOST UP-TO-DATE
INFORMATION REGARDING MILTON INCLUDING TRACK, INTENSITY, AND
IMPACT INFORMATION.
AS FOR THE REST OF THE COUNTRY, THE THEME REMAINS THE PLEASANTLY
COOL EASTERN U.S. AND THE WARM WESTERN AND CENTRAL U.S. HIGH
PRESSURE AND RIDGING WILL BE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE HEAT OUT WEST.
MANY AREAS IN THE SOUTHWEST COULD ECLIPSE DAILY RECORD HIGHS FOR
THE MONTH OF OCTOBER AND THERE WILL BE COMMONPLACE HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE 95-110 F RANGE. EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNINGS ARE
ACTIVE ACROSS THE REGION. THE PLAINS FROM TEXAS TO NORTH DAKOTA
WILL A FALL SWEAT. HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGE IN THE LOW TO MIDDLE
90S ACROSS THE LONE-STAR STATE AND MIDDLE 80S APPROACHING 90 BY
THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK FOR THE NORTHERN GREAT PLAINS. SOME AREAS
MAY BE MORE THAN 20 DEGREES ABOVE EXPECTED HIGHS IN OCTOBER SO
BRING OUT THE SUN SCREEN. MEANWHILE, THE EAST COAST WILL BE
PLEASANT IF NOT CHILLY,ESPECIALLY AROUND THE NEW ENGLAND AREA
WHERE SOME FROST ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE
70S AND 60S, WITH LOWS IN THE 30S AND 40S. MOST OF THE AREAS WILL
BE DRY, BUT THE NEW ENGLAND AND GREAT LAKES REGION MAY FEEL LAKE
EFFECT RAIN SHOWERS, PERHAPS SOME MIXED PRECIPITATION SPRINKLED
IN,AND CLOUDS AS AN UPPER TROUGH PERSISTS THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
THE WEEK. A PACIFIC FRONT LOOKS TO BRING SHOWERS TO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST WITH HIGH TEMPERATUES IN 60S AND LOWER 70S.
WILDER
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page