843
FXUS01 KWBC 101956
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
356 PM EDT THU OCT 10 2024
VALID 00Z FRI OCT 11 2024 - 00Z SUN OCT 13 2024
..MILTON CONTINUES TO MOVE EASTWARD OVER THE ATLANTIC OCEAN
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF
THE NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...
MILTON WILL BECOME EXTRA-TROPICAL BY THURSDAY EVENING WHILE MOVING
EASTWARD OVER THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. WATER LEVELS FROM ONGOING
FLOODING AND STORM SURGE WILL REMAIN ELEVATED AND DANGEROUS UNTIL
THE WATER HAS RECEDED. AS ATTENTION TURNS TO RECOVERY EFFORTS, BE
AWARE OF AREAS THAT REMAIN FLOODED AND DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH
FLOODED ROADWAYS.
RAIN, MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES, WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
NORTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. THEREFORE, THE WPC
HAS ISSUED A MARGINAL RISK (LEVEL 1/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER
PARTS OF THE NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA PENINSULA THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED HEAVY RAIN WILL CREATE LOCALIZED AREAS OF
FLASH FLOODING, AFFECTING AREAS THAT EXPERIENCE RAPID RUNOFF WITH
HEAVY RAIN.
MEANWHILE, AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE NORTHEAST WILL PRODUCE
LIGHT RAIN OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST THROUGH LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT. MOREOVER, ANOTHER AREA OF UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY OVER PARTS OF
THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL TRIGGER SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE REGION THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. FURTHER,
ON FRIDAY, EASTERLY FLOW OFF THE ATLANTIC WILL PRODUCE RAIN
SHOWERS OVER PARTS OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING.
A FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS TO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
AND THEN INTO THE NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION WILL MOVE EASTWARD
TO OFF THE NORTHEAST COAST BY SATURDAY EVENING WHILE EXTENDING
WESTWARD ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY TO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THE SYSTEM
WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN OVER PARTS OF THE UPPER GREAT
LAKES LATE FRIDAY MORNING, ENDING BY FRIDAY NIGHT. AS THE BOUNDARY
PUSHES INTO THE NORTHEAST, THE SYSTEM WILL CREATE LIGHT RAIN
SHOWERS OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.
ADDITIONAL UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY WILL MOVE ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST
ON SATURDAY MORNING AND WILL PRODUCE LIGHT RAIN OVER PARTS OF THE
UPPER MIDWEST, EXTENDING INTO THE GREAT LAKES BY SATURDAY EVENING.
FURTHERMORE, UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY MOVING ONSHORE OVER NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA AND THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL TRIGGER RAIN OVER PARTS
OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA FROM EARLY SATURDAY MORNING TO SATURDAY
EVENING.
ZIEGENFELDER
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP
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