205  
FXUS01 KWBC 110733  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
331 AM EDT FRI OCT 11 2024  
 
VALID 12Z FRI OCT 11 2024 - 12Z SUN OCT 13 2024  
 
...RECORD-BREAKING HEAT FORECAST ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHWEST AND  
SOUTH-CENTRAL UNITED STATES...  
 
...DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM TO BRING UNSETTLED WEATHER TO THE OHIO  
VALLEY, GREAT LAKES, AND NORTHEAST THIS WEEKEND...  
   
..LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEAST FLORIDA
 
 
PREDOMINANT UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING STRETCHING FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO  
THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS WILL ALLOW FOR ANOTHER DAY OF  
RECORD-BREAKING HEAT ACROSS PARTS OF NEVADA AND ARIZONA TODAY.  
HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO REACH INTO THE UPPER 90S AND  
TRIPLE DIGITS, WITH TEMPERATURES ONLY EXPECTED TO BE A FEW DEGREES  
COOLER THIS WEEKEND. MEANWHILE, HEAT IS ANTICIPATED TO EXPAND  
ACROSS THE SOUTH-CENTRAL U.S. BY SATURDAY AS HIGHS INTO THE  
MID-90S ENGULF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. WELL ABOVE AVERAGE  
TEMPERATURES SHOULD SPAN INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND  
MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AS WELL, WITH NUMEROUS DAILY RECORD HIGH  
TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE. COOLER AND MORE FALL-LIKE TEMPERATURES WILL  
BE FOUND ACROSS THE EAST TODAY, WITH AREAS OF FROST LIKELY FROM  
THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS TO THE NORTHEAST EARLY THIS MORNING.  
 
THE NEXT AUTUMN COLD FRONT TO IMPACT THE NATION IS FORECAST TO  
CROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND NORTHEAST BY SATURDAY BEFORE STALLING  
OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC ON SUNDAY. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE  
DEVELOPING ALONG THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO DEEPEN AND  
MOVE EASTWARD OVER THE OHIO VALLEY AND LOWER GREAT LAKES. AREAS OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SURROUNDING THE SYSTEM MAY DAMPEN  
OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES, WITH A FEW ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS  
POSSIBLE BETWEEN EASTERN KENTUCKY AND WEST VIRGINIA.  
 
FOLLOWING IN THE WAKE OF HURRICANE MILTON, STRONG NORTHEASTERLY  
FLOW AIDED BY A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHERN  
APPALACHIANS WILL PROVIDE THE POTENTIAL FOR CONTINUED COASTAL  
HAZARDS AS WELL AS LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST OF  
FLORIDA. DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA  
COASTLINE IN PARTICULAR MAY REMAIN SOMEWHAT STATIONARY DUE TO  
OPPOSING FLOW ALOFT, WHILE ALSO CONTAINING INTENSE RAINFALL RATES.  
A MARGINAL RISK (LEVEL 1/4) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL HAS BEEN ISSUED  
FOR THIS REGION ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY IN ORDER TO HIGHLIGHT THE  
THREAT OF LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.  
 
SNELL  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 

 
 
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