537
FXUS01 KWBC 230711
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
311 AM EDT WED OCT 23 2024
VALID 12Z WED OCT 23 2024 - 12Z FRI OCT 25 2024
...VERY PLEASANT WEATHER CONTINUES ACROSS MOST OF THE COUNTRY
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...
...WELL ABOVE-AVERAGE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE OVER THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN U.S...
A QUIET AND RELATIVELY UNEVENTFUL FALL WEATHER PATTERN WILL BE IN
PLACE ACROSS THE CONTINENTAL U.S. THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY, WITH HIGH
PRESSURE KEEPING MAINLY SUNNY SKIES IN PLACE ACROSS THE CENTRAL
AND EASTERN U.S. AND THE VERY PLEASANT CONDITIONS CONTINUING.
TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN BE QUITE MILD AND FEEL MORE LIKE
SEPTEMBER ACROSS MUCH OF THE EAST COAST REGION ON WEDNESDAY AHEAD
OF A COLD FRONT, WHICH WILL HERALD THE ARRIVAL OF MORE AUTUMNAL
TEMPERATURES FOR THURSDAY WITH HIGHS FALLING 10 TO 20 DEGREES FOR
MANY AREAS FROM THE MID-ATLANTIC TO THE NORTHEAST. EVEN WARMER
CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY FOR THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS TO CLOSE
OUT THE WORK WEEK, WITH HIGHS RUNNING UP TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL FOR LATE OCTOBER, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW RECORD HIGHS.
IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION PROSPECTS, SOME LIGHT SHOWERS ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION AND INTO NEW
ENGLAND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WHERE FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL BE
GREATEST, AND REMAINING DRY FARTHER TO THE SOUTH GIVEN A PAUCITY
OF MOISTURE AND LACK OF DYNAMICS. A SECOND AREA OF SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS LIKELY FOR THE MIDWEST STATES AHEAD
OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTH ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS
ON THURSDAY AND INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. THERE MAY ALSO BE A FEW
SHOWERS IN EASTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. OUT WEST,
SOME SHOWERS AND HIGH ELEVATION SNOW ARE EXPECTED FROM EASTERN
OREGON TO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES WITH A SHORTWAVE UPPER TROUGH
MOVING THROUGH THE REGION.
THE COMBINATION OF VERY WARM CONDITIONS, DRY GROUNDS, AND
INCREASED WINDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL RAISE THE POTENTIAL
FOR WILDFIRES, BASED ON THE SPC FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK ON THURSDAY.
THE SAME HOLDS TRUE FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON
WEDNESDAY.
HAMRICK
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