613
FXUS01 KWBC 240731
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
331 AM EDT THU OCT 24 2024
VALID 12Z THU OCT 24 2024 - 12Z SAT OCT 26 2024
...PLEASANT WEATHER CONTINUES ACROSS MOST OF THE COUNTRY THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK...
...WELL ABOVE-AVERAGE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE OVER THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN U.S...
A QUIET AND RELATIVELY UNEVENTFUL FALL WEATHER PATTERN WILL
CONTINUE TO BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE CONTINENTAL U.S. THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK, WITH HIGH PRESSURE KEEPING MAINLY SUNNY SKIES IN
PLACE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN U.S. AND THE WARM CONDITIONS
CONTINUING ACROSS THE PLAINS AND SOUTHERN TIER STATES. A COLD
FRONT APPROACHING THE EAST COAST WILL HERALD THE ARRIVAL OF MORE
AUTUMNAL TEMPERATURES FOR THURSDAY WITH HIGHS FALLING 10 TO 20
DEGREES FOR MANY AREAS FROM THE MID-ATLANTIC TO THE NORTHEAST
COMPARED TO WEDNESDAY. EVEN WARMER CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY FOR THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS TO CLOSE OUT THE WORK WEEK, WITH HIGHS
RUNNING UP TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR LATE OCTOBER, WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL RECORD HIGHS.
IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION PROSPECTS, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY FOR THE MIDWEST STATES AHEAD OF THE NEXT
COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTH ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS ON THURSDAY
AND INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. A MORE CONCENTRATED CORRIDOR OF HEAVIER
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED FROM EASTERN IOWA TO NORTHERN ILLINOIS ON
THURSDAY, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
WARM SECTOR OF THE SURFACE LOW. THERE MAY ALSO BE A FEW SHOWERS
IN EASTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. OUT WEST, SOME
SHOWERS AND HIGH ELEVATION SNOW ARE EXPECTED FROM EASTERN IDAHO TO
WYOMING AND SOUTHERN MONTANA WITH A SHORTWAVE UPPER TROUGH MOVING
THROUGH THE REGION. LOOKING AHEAD TO FRIDAY, ONSHORE FLOW AHEAD
OF A PACIFIC COLD FRONT WILL LEAD TO LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN
DEVELOPING ACROSS WESTERN OREGON AND WASHINGTON, BUT NOT
CONSIDERED AN ATMOSPHERIC RIVER EVENT.
THE COMBINATION OF VERY WARM CONDITIONS, DRY GROUNDS, AND
INCREASED WINDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL RAISE THE POTENTIAL
FOR WILDFIRES, BASED ON THE SPC FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK ON THURSDAY.
THERE MAY ALSO BE SOME FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE MID-ATLANTIC AND THE NORTHEAST ON THURSDAY IN THE WAKE OF A
DRY COLD FRONT, WITH DRY CONDITIONS AND GUSTY WINDS DEVELOPING.
HAMRICK
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