616
FXUS01 KWBC 261910
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
310 PM EDT SAT OCT 26 2024
VALID 00Z SUN OCT 27 2024 - 00Z TUE OCT 29 2024
...PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM TO BRING BENEFICIAL RAIN AND HIGHER
ELEVATION SNOW TO THE NORTHWEST...
...VERY WARM AND DRY FALL WEATHER TO SHIFT EAST FROM THE ROCKIES
INTO THE PLAINS, MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY AND MIDWEST THROUGH
EARLY THIS WEEK...
A LARGE PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO THE
NORTHWESTERN U.S. OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, BRINGING COLDER
TEMPERATURES AND MUCH NEEDED RAIN/MOUNTAIN SNOW TO THE REGION.
ONGOING LIGHT RAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN WASHINGTON AND
OREGON WILL INCREASE IN INTENSITY THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES INLAND. RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT WITH ONSHORE FLOW AFFECTING NORTHERN CALIFORNIA TO THE
WASHINGTON CASCADES ON SUNDAY, BUT COLDER AIR WILL ALSO BE
FILTERING INTO FROM THE WEST. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A CHANGEOVER TO
SNOW FOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE OLYMPICS, CASCADES INTO THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES FROM SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE
LARGELY BENEFICIAL GIVEN MODEST FORECAST INTENSITIES AND ONGOING
DROUGHT CONDITIONS IN PLACE FOR MUCH OF THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT
OF THE U.S. THERE WILL ALSO BE GUSTY WINDS FOR PORTIONS OF THE
INTERIOR WEST AS THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES INLAND ON SUNDAY,
ESPECIALLY IN THE LEE OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES IN MONTANA WHERE A
HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR WIND GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH.
ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE LOWER 48, CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN DRY AND
RATHER WARM FOR LATE OCTOBER FOR MOST AREAS OUTSIDE OF THE
NORTHEAST AND MID-ATLANTIC. HIGH TEMPERATURES OF 10 TO 20+ DEGREES
ABOVE AVERAGE WILL ENCOMPASS A LARGE PORTION OF THE WEST-CENTRAL
U.S. ON SUNDAY, STRETCHING FROM THE GREAT BASIN INTO THE HIGH
PLAINS. THE ANOMALOUS WARMTH WILL SHIFT EASTWARD FOR MONDAY AND
TUESDAY, REACHING THE MIDWEST TO LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY.
ON MONDAY, HIGH TEMPERATURE DEPARTURES FROM AVERAGE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PLAINS INTO PORTIONS OF THE UPPER MIDWEST ARE EXPECTED TO
RUN 20 TO 30 DEGREES ABOVE LATE OCTOBER AVERAGES.
IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION, WHILE MOST AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY TO THE
EAST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE, LIGHT SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED FROM
THE EASTERN U.P. OF MICHIGAN INTO NORTHERN NEW YORK AND NORTHERN
NEW ENGLAND AS A COUPLE OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES PASS OVER THE
REGION, WITH COLDER AIR ON SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT SUPPORTING WET SNOW
MIXING IN. FARTHER SOUTH, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
LINGER NEAR A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT STRETCHING FROM NORTHEASTERN
TEXAS TO THE SOUTHEAST. WHILE AN ISOLATED INCH OR TWO WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITHIN A COUPLE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE CAROLINAS
THROUGH TONIGHT, MOST AREAS WILL RECEIVE FAR LESS OR EVEN NOTHING,
WITH AN ISOLATED THREAT FOR SHOWERS CONTINUING INTO MONDAY MORNING.
OTTO
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