498
FXUS01 KWBC 311927
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
327 PM EDT THU OCT 31 2024
VALID 00Z FRI NOV 01 2024 - 00Z SUN NOV 03 2024
...MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED ACROSS LARGE PORTIONS
OF THE CENTRAL TO EASTERN U.S....
..EARLY SEASON LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE THURSDAY
EVENING/NIGHT ACROSS THE WESTERN U.P. OF MICHIGAN...
...HEAVY RAINS AND HIGH ELEVATIONS SNOWS EXPECTED ACROSS THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO FAR NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA...
...ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS AND POTENTIALLY SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TO CENTRAL PLAINS BY EARLY THIS WEEKEND...
THERE HAVE BEEN MANY RECORD HIGH AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES AND RECORD
HIGH MORNING TEMPERATURES OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS ACROSS THE
CENTRAL TO EASTERN U.S. THE AREAL EXTENT OF RECORD TEMPERATURES
WILL, HOWEVER, DECREASE SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS IN
THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT MOVING EAST THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO
VALLEY REGION THURSDAY NIGHT AND INTO THE NORTHEAST ON FRIDAY.
RECORD HIGH MORNING LOWS ARE STILL POSSIBLE FRIDAY MORNING FROM
THE MID-ATLANTIC INTO NEW ENGLAND AND RECORD AFTERNOON TEMPS ARE
POSSIBLE FRIDAY FROM NEAR NEW YORK CITY TO NORTHERN MAINE. WHILE
THERE ARE EXPECTED TO BE LESS RECORD TEMPERATURES OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS ACROSS THE LOWER 48, WIDESPREAD ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED ACROSS LARGE PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL TO
EASTERN U.S.
THE COLD FRONT THAT WILL BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES TO THE CENTRAL
TO EASTERN U.S. HAS ALSO BEEN RESPONSIBLE FOR ACTIVE THUNDERSTORMS
OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS OVER CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER
MISSOURI AND MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEYS. SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS FRONT AS IT PUSHES EASTWARD, BUT
AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MUCH LESS THAN WHAT OCCURRED ACROSS THE
MID SECTION OF THE NATION, BRINGING LITTLE RELIEF TO THE
WIDESPREAD DROUGHT CONDITIONS FROM THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO THE
EAST. THERE HAS BEEN A NARROW AREA OF EARLY SEASON ACCUMULATING
SNOWS ON THE NORTHWEST SIDE OF AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING
ALONG THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THIS FRONT OVER THE UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE LIGHT SNOW
POTENTIAL TONIGHT ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE UPPER PENINSULA
OF MICHIGAN, WHERE AN INCH OR TWO OF ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE.
A WET WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE FOR THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO
FAR NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA AS THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM PUSHES EASTWARD
OFF THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC. MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS LIKELY TO
DEVELOP ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST FROM THE WASHINGTON/OREGON
CASCADES TO THE WASHINGTON/OREGON COASTS THURSDAY NIGHT AND
CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY, WHILE ALSO SINKING SOUTHWARD INTO FAR
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. HEAVY SNOWS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE OREGON
AND WASHINGTON CASCADES, WITH SNOW TOTALS IN EXCESS OF A FOOT
POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS. THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST HAS BEEN
ONE OF THE FEW AREAS OF THE LOWER 48 THAT HAS RECEIVED ABOVE
AVERAGE PRECIPITATION RECENTLY.
THIS SYSTEM AFFECTING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY WILL EVENTUALLY SET THE STAGE FOR ANOTHER POTENTIALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL EVENT FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN TO CENTRAL PLAINS AS
IT PUSHES FARTHER EASTWARD FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. MUCH ABOVE
AVERAGE MOISTURE VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS FRIDAY NIGHT AND EXPAND NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS ON SATURDAY. THIS WILL SUPPORT AN EXPANDING AREA OF MUCH
NEEDED RAINFALL FROM FAR EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO NORTH TEXAS, MUCH
OF OKLAHOMA, KANSAS AND INTO WESTERN MISSOURI. SIMILAR TO MANY
AREAS OF THE LOWER 48, THIS REGION IS EXPERIENCING MODERATE TO
EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS. IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT,
THERE WILL ALSO BE A THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THIS AREA.
ORAVEC
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