849  
FXUS01 KWBC 101834  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
134 PM EST SUN NOV 10 2024  
 
VALID 00Z MON NOV 11 2024 - 00Z WED NOV 13 2024  
 
...WET SUNDAY EVENING FOR MUCH OF THE EASTERN U.S., INCLUDING  
BENEFICIAL RAINFALL FOR THE NORTHEAST...  
 
...AN ATMOSPHERIC RIVER WILL BRING HEAVY COASTAL RAIN AND HIGH  
ELEVATION SNOWFALL TO PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST BEGINNING  
TONIGHT...  
 
...ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK FOR  
MOST OF THE COUNTRY...  
 
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL FOCUS ALONG A COLD FRONT,  
WHICH IS FORECAST TO PROPAGATE THROUGH THE MIDWEST AND EAST  
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. WHILE MUCH OF THE RAINFALL THAT OCCURS  
OVER THE NORTHEAST/MID-ATLANTIC WILL BE MOSTLY BENEFICIAL DUE TO  
CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS, SOME OF THE RAIN THAT DEVELOPS OVER  
PARTS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY COULD GENERATE FLASH  
FLOODING FOLLOWING A RARE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL EVENT. THUS, SLIGHT  
RISKS OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ARE IN EFFECT FOR THIS EVENING OVER  
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND WESTERN KENTUCKY.  
 
ELSEWHERE, A DEEP AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY  
COASTAL RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION SNOWFALL TO PORTIONS OF THE  
PACIFIC NORTHWEST BEGINNING TONIGHT BEFORE SPILLING OUT INTO THE  
NORTHERN ROCKIES, GREAT BASIN AND NORTHERN CALIFORNIA ON MONDAY.  
THERE WILL BE A LULL BEFORE ANOTHER, MORE POTENT, SYSTEM BRINGS  
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AND HEAVY SNOWFALL POTENTIAL TO THE REGION  
MID-WEEK.  
 
A PREDOMINANT RIDGE-LIKE PATTERN WILL PROMOTE ABOVE AVERAGE  
TEMPERATURES FOR MUCH OF THE LOWER 48 THIS WEEK. SHORTWAVE ENERGY  
WILL BRING COOLER CONDITIONS TO THE WEST ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY,  
WHILE THE EAST COAST EXPERIENCES HIGH TEMPERATURES THAT ARE 10-15  
DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE ON MONDAY. DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS COULD  
LEAD TO FIRES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND, UPSTATE NEW  
YORK AND NORTHERN NEW JERSEY, WHERE RED FLAG WARNINGS AND AN  
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK ARE IN EFFECT FOR TODAY.  
 
KEBEDE  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  

 
 
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