194
FXUS01 KWBC 160738
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
238 AM EST SAT NOV 16 2024
VALID 12Z SAT NOV 16 2024 - 12Z MON NOV 18 2024
...PERIODS OF HEAVY COASTAL RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW TO IMPACT THE
NORTHWEST THIS WEEKEND, WITH HEAVY SNOW ALSO SPREADING INTO THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES...
...HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP OVER THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS SUNDAY NIGHT...
...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PARTS OF
THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THIS WEEKEND...
UNSETTLED WEATHER IS IN STORE FOR THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND
NORTHERN ROCKIES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A STRONG COLD FRONT
MOVES INLAND LATER TODAY AND LEADS TO A CONSISTENT FLOW OF PACIFIC
MOISTURE INTO THE REGION. HEAVY COASTAL RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED
THROUGHOUT WESTERN OREGON AND WASHINGTON, WITH HEAVY SNOW IN THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE OLYMPIC AND CASCADE MOUNTAINS. WINTER
STORM WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT STARTING TODAY ACROSS THE CASCADES
DUE TO FORECAST SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 2 FEET. MOUNTAIN SNOW
IS ALSO ANTICIPATED TO EXPAND EASTWARD INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
BY LATE TONIGHT. MEANWHILE, A SEPARATE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE RACING
OUT OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS TODAY AHEAD OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
SYSTEM MAY PRODUCE A SWATH OF MODERATE SNOW OF ITS OWN, WITH THE
MEDIUM CHANCES (40-60%) FOR AT LEAST 4 INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS
NORTHEAST MONTANA AND NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA.
BY SUNDAY NIGHT, A BLOSSOMING PRECIPITATION SHIELD IS FORECAST TO
IMPACT THE SOUTHERN PLAINS IN RESPONSE TO A RAPIDLY STRENGTHENING
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. THIS ANOMALOUSLY STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
WILL HELP SURGE AMPLE ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE CONTENT NORTHWARD INTO
A DRAPED STATIONARY BOUNDARY AND PRODUCE AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN FROM
NORTH TEXAS AND THE TEXAS PANHANDLE THROUGH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA INTO
EASTERN KANSAS BY MONDAY. SCATTERED INSTANCES OF FLASH FLOODING
ARE POSSIBLE. ADDITIONALLY, THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE AS AN
ATTACHED COLD FRONT PUSHES ACROSS THE LONE STAR STATE, WITH A RISK
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO OR TWO INTO MONDAY
MORNING.
DRY CONDITIONS AND GRADUALLY WARMING TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S. THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK IN RESPONSE TO A
LARGE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM SLIDING TO THE EAST COAST BY MONDAY.
WHILE THIS IS GREAT NEWS FOR OUTDOOR FALL ACTIVITIES, THERE
REMAINS ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGHOUT NEW ENGLAND AND
THE NORTHEAST THIS WEEKEND DUE TO RECENT INCREASING DROUGHT
CONDITIONS AND BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS. RED FLAG WARNINGS CONTINUE
FOR MUCH OF THE HIGHLY POPULATED I-95 CORRIDOR FROM PHILADELPHIA
TO BOSTON.
SNELL
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