414
FXUS01 KWBC 161947
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
246 PM EST SAT NOV 16 2024
VALID 00Z SUN NOV 17 2024 - 00Z TUE NOV 19 2024
...WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTHWEST AND
NORTHERN ROCKIES, INCLUDING HEAVY MOUNTAIN SNOW FOR PARTS OF THE
REGION...
...A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN,
GUSTY WINDS, AND THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE
SOUTHERN TO CENTRAL PLAINS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...
...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PARTS OF
THE NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC AND THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THIS WEEKEND...
AN INLAND MOVING FRONTAL SYSTEM, FOLLOWED BY PERSISTENT ONSHORE
WINDS IN ITS WAKE, WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION FROM THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEEKEND INTO THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK. THIS INCLUDES
HEAVY SNOW WITH IMPACTS TO TRAVEL ALONG MUCH OF THE CASCADES, AS
WELL AS THE NORTHERN IDAHO AND NORTHWESTERN MONTANA RANGES, WHERE
WIDESPREAD ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 INCHES OR MORE ARE EXPECTED, WITH
HEAVIER AMOUNTS AROUND 2 FEET ACROSS SOME OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
MEANWHILE, AN AMPLIFYING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO TRACK
FROM NORTHERN MEXICO INTO THE SOUTHERN U.S., BRINGING AREAS OF
HEAVY RAIN AND THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER INTO THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS LATE SUNDAY. STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS FROM SUNDAY
EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT, POSING A RISK FOR SEVERE GUSTS AND
POSSIBLY A FEW TORNADOES ACROSS THE REGION. HEAVY RAIN, WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED FLOODING, IS ALSO EXPECTED, WITH THE
HEAVIEST AMOUNTS FORECAST TO DEVELOP INITIALLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NORTHWESTERN TEXAS INTO SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA.
THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN, PRODUCING WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION AND STRONG, GUSTY WINDS AS IT TRACKS NORTHEAST OUT
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND LOWER MISSOURI
VALLEY ON MONDAY. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN A THREAT,
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS, WHERE THE RISK FOR DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.
AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM, ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE INTO
NEXT WEEK. APART FROM A WEAKENING SYSTEM THAT MAY BRING SOME
LIGHT PRECIPITATION TO PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES, NORTHERN NEW YORK
AND NEW ENGLAND, DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE
EASTERN U.S. ALTHOUGH WINDS ACROSS THE REGION WILL BE LIGHTER
THAN TODAY, THE PERSISTENCE OF CRITICALLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON SUNDAY.
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