385  
FXUS01 KWBC 261925  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
224 PM EST TUE NOV 26 2024  
 
VALID 00Z WED NOV 27 2024 - 00Z FRI NOV 29 2024  
 
...PRE THANKSGIVING TO THANKSGIVING DAY STORM TO PUSH FROM THE  
CENTRAL ROCKIES TONIGHT, TOWARD THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/OHIO  
VALLEY WEDNESDAY AND INTO THE NORTHEAST ON THURSDAY...  
 
...DRY CONDITIONS ON TAP FOR THE WEST COAST AFTER SEVERAL DAYS OF  
WET WEATHER...  
 
...MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO  
THE GULF COAST ON WEDNESDAY, WHILE MUCH BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES  
STRETCH ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS, GREAT BASIN AND CENTRAL  
ROCKIES...  
 
...COOLER TEMPERATURES SPREAD SOUTH AND EAST INTO THE SOUTHERN TO  
EASTERN U.S. ON THANKSGIVING, WITH BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES THIS  
HOLIDAY WEEKEND ACROSS LARGE PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL TO EASTERN  
U.S., WHILE A WARMING TREND BEGINS ACROSS THE WEST...  
 
THE LAST IN THE CURRENT SERIES OF ACTIVE STORMS AFFECTING THE  
NATION WILL BE PUSHING EASTWARD TONIGHT FROM THE GREAT BASIN INTO  
THE CENTRAL ROCKIES, EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TO CENTRAL  
PLAINS TOWARD THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/ OHIO VALLEY ON  
WEDNESDAY AND INTO THE NORTHEAST ON THANKSGIVING DAY. TRAVEL  
DISRUPTIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES STEADILY  
EASTWARD DURING THE BUSY WEDNESDAY & THURSDAY TRAVEL RUSH. HEAVY  
SNOWS WILL BE CONCENTRATED PRIMARILY IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE  
GREAT BASIN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES FROM THE WASATCH OF UTAH INTO THE  
ROCKIES OF COLORADO. AS COLD AIR SINKS SOUTH IN THE LEE OF THE  
CENTRAL ROCKIES LIGHT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS MAY PUSH EASTWARD IN THE  
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS OF COLORADO AND FAR WESTERN KANSAS DURING  
WEDNESDAY.  
 
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE PRIMARILY A RAIN PRODUCER ON WEDNESDAY FROM  
PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS ,MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, OHIO  
VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST. RAINFALL TOTALS OF .25-.50"+ WILL BE MUCH  
NEEDED FOR DROUGHT STRICKEN REGIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST, WHILE THE  
OHIO AND MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REMAIN THE FEW AREAS OF THE LOWER  
48 NOT IN DROUGHT, BUT WILL ALSO SEE MODERATE RAINFALL AMOUNTS.  
MUCH NEEDED RAINS WILL ALSO BE SPREADING EASTWARD ON THANKSGIVING  
INTO THE MID ATLANTIC AND THE NORTHEAST. THE THANKSGIVING DAY  
PARADE IN NEW YORK CITY LIKELY TO BE WET AND COLD THIS YEAR AS  
RAIN OVERSPREADS THE NORTHEAST EARLY THURSDAY. ACROSS THE  
INTERIOR NORTHEAST, ACCUMULATING SNOWS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE  
HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS FROM THE POCONOS OF PENNSYLVANIA, THE  
CATSKILLS AND ADIRONDACKS OF NEW YORK, BERKSHIRES OF WESTERN  
MASSACHUSETTS, GREEN MOUNTAINS OF VERMONT AND WHITE MOUNTAINS OF  
NEW HAMPSHIRE.  
 
WHILE STORMY WEATHER PRESSES EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL TO  
EASTERN U.S. OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS, TRANQUIL AND DRIER WEATHER ON  
TAP FOR THE WEST COAST. THIS WILL BRING AN END TO THE RECENT VERY  
ACTIVE PATTERN OF HEAVY LOWER ELEVATION RAINS AND HIGHER ELEVATION  
HEAVY SNOWS, WITH THIS TRANQUIL PATTERN CONTINUING THROUGH THE  
HOLIDAY WEEKEND. FOR MUCH OF THE NATION, THE RETURN TRIP FROM  
THANKSGIVING WILL HAVE MUCH BETTER TRAVEL CONDITIONS THAN THE  
WEDNESDAY TO THURSDAY PEAK TRAVEL PERIOD.  
 
TEMPERATURE WISE, MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES LIKELY FROM THE  
SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE GULF COAST ON WEDNESDAY, WHILE MUCH BELOW  
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE  
CENTRAL ROCKIES AND GREAT BASIN. THESE COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL  
BE PUSHING SOUTH AND EAST ON THANKSGIVING ACROSS MUCH OF THE MID  
SECTION OF THE NATION AND ACROSS THE EAST BY FRIDAY. BELOW  
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ALSO EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE WEST OVER  
THE NEXT FEW DAYS, BUT A WARMING TREND EXPECTED BY THE WEEKEND.  
 
ORAVEC  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 
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