725  
FXUS01 KWBC 261955  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
254 PM EST THU DEC 26 2024  
 
VALID 00Z FRI DEC 27 2024 - 00Z SUN DEC 29 2024  
 
...STORMY WEATHER PATTERN TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN U.S.  
INTO THIS WEEKEND WITH HEAVY LOWER ELEVATION RAINS AND HIGHER  
ELEVATION HEAVY SNOWS...  
 
...INCREASINGLY WET PATTERN DEVELOPING FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI  
VALLEY, SPREADING NORTHEAST INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY, SOUTHERN  
APPALACHIANS AND MID-ATLANTIC...  
 
...ARCTIC AIR REMAINS ABSENT FROM THE LOWER 48 WITH MUCH ABOVE  
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ACROSS NEARLY ALL OF THE COUNTRY...  
 
THE RECENT STORMY WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN U.S.  
WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS ADDITIONAL STORM SYSTEMS  
MOVE OFF THE PACIFIC. THE WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION THAT HAS  
OCCURRED ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND PACIFIC NORTHWEST OVER  
THE PAST 24 HOURS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER HEAVY PRECIPITATION  
PRODUCER MOVING INLAND THURSDAY NIGHT ACROSS NORTHERN CALIFORNIA  
INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND THEN INLAND ACROSS THE NORTHERN  
ROCKIES ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER HEAVY  
PRECIPITATION PRODUCER MOVING INLAND FRIDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE  
PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND INTO THE NORTHERN ROCKIES DURING SATURDAY.  
YET ANOTHER PACIFIC STORM WILL SPREAD ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY  
PRECIPITATION INTO THE NORTHWESTERN U.S. SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. BY  
THE END OF THE WEEKEND, RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3-5"+ LIKELY THROUGH  
THE WASHINGTON AND OREGON CASCADES, NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA COASTAL  
MOUNTAINS INTO THE NORTHERN SIERRA, WHILE SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO  
3 FEET ARE LIKELY IN THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTHWEST. THE  
RECENT WET WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS THE NORTHWEST AND LIKELIHOOD OF  
ADDITIONAL WIDESPREAD HEAVY PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS INTO THIS  
WEEKEND WILL RESULT IN INCREASING STREAM FLOWS AND SOIL SATURATION  
LEVELS, LEADING TO AN INCREASING THREAT OF RIVER FLOODING, ROCK  
AND MUDSLIDES.  
 
WET WEATHER WILL ALSO BE INCREASING OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS FROM  
LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY,  
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND MID-ATLANTIC. PRECIPITATION ENHANCING  
OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON WILL  
SPREAD INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY/TENNESSEE VALLEY TONIGHT,  
NORTHWARD INTO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON FRIDAY AND EASTWARD  
INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND MID-ATLANTIC SATURDAY AND  
SUNDAY. WHILE DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE IMPROVED OVER THE PAST FEW  
WEEKS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH AND EAST, MANY AREAS STILL  
REMAIN BELOW AVERAGE WITH PRECIPITATION, WITH THE UPCOMING RAINS  
MUCH WELCOMED HYDROLOGICALLY.  
 
WHILE IT WILL BE STORMY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS ACROSS LARGE  
PORTIONS OF THE LOWER 48, ARCTIC AIR WILL REMAIN ABSENT AS THE  
OVERALL FLOW ACROSS THE NATION IS FROM WEST TO EAST, KEEPING  
ARCTIC AIR WELL NORTH OF THE U.S./CANADIAN BORDER. MUCH OF THE  
LOWER 48 WILL SEE MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES OVER THE NEXT  
FEW DAYS. THIS WILL BE A CONTINUATION TO THE ABOVE AVERAGE  
PATTERN FOR AREAS TO THE WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER, BUT A  
REVERSAL OF THE OVERALL BELOW AVERAGE PATTERN THAT HAS DOMINATED  
AREAS EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI DURING DECEMBER. THIS MUCH ABOVE  
AVERAGE PATTERN WILL SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR RECORD HIGH MORNING LOW  
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE MID TO UPPER  
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON FRIDAY AND ACROSS THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI  
VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES REGION ON SATURDAY.  
 
ORAVEC  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab HPC Page
Main Text Page