869  
FXUS01 KWBC 080851  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
349 AM EST WED JAN 08 2025  
 
VALID 12Z WED JAN 08 2025 - 12Z FRI JAN 10 2025  
 
...MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE-EFFECT SNOW DOWNWIND FROM THE GREAT  
LAKES ON WEDNESDAY...  
 
...A DEVELOPING WINTER STORM WILL PRODUCE SNOW AND RAIN/FREEZING  
RAIN, ICING, OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER  
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY...  
 
...LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN  
ROCKIES/NORTHERN PLAINS AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS  
ON WEDNESDAY: LIGHT SNOW OVER PARTS OF THE UPPER MIDWEST ON  
THURSDAY...  
 
...THERE IS AN EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS  
OF THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST...  
 
COLD HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO WESTERN  
ONTARIO, CANADA, MOVES TO THE MID-ATLANTIC BY FRIDAY. THE COLD AIR  
AND UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY WILL AID IN PRODUCING MODERATE TO HEAVY  
LAKE-EFFECT SNOW DOWNWIND FROM THE GREAT LAKES ON WEDNESDAY AND  
WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF ON THURSDAY. IN ADDITION, MODERATE TO  
HEAVY UPSLOPE SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST, AND  
LIGHT TO MODERATE UPSLOPE SNOW OVER THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS WILL  
DEVELOP ON WEDNESDAY.  
 
MEANWHILE, STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER PARTS OF THE GREAT BASIN AND  
LOW PRESSURE DROPPING INTO THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA WILL CONTINUE TO  
SUPPORT SANTA ANA WINDS AND A DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER EVENT OVER  
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA ON WEDNESDAY. THE SPC HAS ISSUED A  
EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA ALONG PORTIONS OF THE  
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST. SUSTAINED WINDS REACHING 30 TO 40 MPH,  
WITH STRONGER WINDS IN THE TERRAIN, ALONG WITH LOW RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY, AND DRY FUELS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO THE DANGEROUS  
CONDITIONS. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO  
CONTINUE ON THURSDAY FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA.  
 
MOREOVER, ON WEDNESDAY, A DEEP UPPER LOW OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO  
WILL OPEN AND MOVE TO THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES TO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS  
BY FRIDAY. THE SYSTEM WILL CREATE IMPACTFUL WINTER WEATHER ON  
THURSDAY FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BEFORE INTENSIFYING  
AS IT EXPANDS ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY OVERNIGHT  
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. SNOWFALL TOTALS WILL BE THE GREATEST, 4 TO 8  
INCHES, FROM PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS ACROSS ARKANSAS INTO THE  
TENNESSEE VALLEY. HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED  
THROUGH THE SWATH OF WINTER WEATHER. ADDITIONALLY, RAIN/FREEZING  
RAIN WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL TEXAS INTO SOUTHERN  
ARKANSAS AND NORTHERN LOUISIANA. OVER THIS REGION, SCATTERED ICE  
AMOUNTS OF 0.10 INCHES WILL FALL ON THURSDAY.  
 
FURTHERMORE, ADDITIONAL UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY WILL MOVE OVER THE  
PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION WEDNESDAY MORNING  
AND REACH THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES AND THE UPPER GREAT LAKES BY  
FRIDAY. THE ENERGY WILL AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF A NEW FRONT OVER  
THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES THAT WILL  
MOVE EASTWARD TO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES TO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BY  
FRIDAY.  
 
THE NEW ENERGY WILL CREATE A SHORT-LIVED LIGHT COASTAL RAIN AND  
HIGHER-ELEVATION SNOW OVER PARTS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST ON EARLY  
WEDNESDAY MORNING. BY WEDNESDAY EVENING, LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP  
OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES, EXPANDING INTO PARTS OF THE  
NORTHERN PLAINS AND CENTRAL ROCKIES BY THURSDAY MORNING. BY  
THURSDAY NIGHT, LIGHT SNOW WILL EXTEND FROM THE NORTHERN  
PLAINS/UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN ROCKIES  
AND CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS. BY FRIDAY MORNING, THE LIGHT SNOW  
WILL MOVE INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES AND MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI  
VALLEY, WHILE CONTINUING OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS.  
 
MOREOVER, BY FRIDAY, A NEW FRONT MOVING ONSHORE OVER THE PACIFIC  
NORTHWEST WILL TRIGGER COASTAL RAIN AND HIGHER-ELEVATION SNOW OVER  
PARTS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST.  
 
ZIEGENFELDER  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab HPC Page
Main Text Page