696  
FXUS01 KWBC 122003  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
300 PM EST SUN JAN 12 2025  
 
VALID 00Z MON JAN 13 2025 - 00Z WED JAN 15 2025  
 
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS THE  
FIRE-RAVAGED REGION OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA...  
 
...CLIPPER SYSTEM TO BRING SNOW SHOWERS TO THE GREAT LAKES ALONG  
WITH RENEWED SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST AND OHIO  
VALLEY...  
 
...RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE CENTRAL GULF STATES THROUGH TONIGHT  
THEN ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA ON MONDAY...  
 
THE WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS NORTH AMERICA WILL FAVOR A RETURN OF  
ARCTIC AIR ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN U.S. OVER THE NEXT  
COUPLE OF DAYS. THE LATEST WAVE OF ARCTIC AIR WILL CONTINUE TO  
OVERSPREAD THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST BEHIND A  
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT IS FORECAST TO TRACK ACROSS THE GREAT  
LAKES THROUGH TONIGHT. UP TO A FEW INCHES OF NEW SNOW CAN BE  
EXPECTED ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST, BUT FOR LOCATIONS NEAR LAKE  
SUPERIOR AND DOWNWIND FROM LAKE MICHIGAN, 8 INCHES TO POSSIBLY A  
FOOT OF SNOW COULD FALL DUE TO ENHANCEMENT EFFECTS FROM THE  
RELATIVELY MILD LAKE WATERS. THE LAKE-EFFECT/ENHANCED SNOW WILL  
MAKE A COMEBACK FOR THE SNOW BELT OF THE LOWER GREAT LAKES BY  
MONDAY AND INTO TUESDAY BEHIND AN ARCTIC FRONT WITH LOCALLY MORE  
THAN A FOOT OF NEW SNOW POSSIBLE. UP TO A COUPLE OF INCHES OF  
SNOW CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY WITH A FEW INCHES  
POSSIBLE OVER WEST VIRGINIA FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THE ARCTIC  
FRONT. GIVEN THE RENEWED SURGE OF ARCTIC COLD IN ITS WAKE, HIGH  
TEMPERATURES WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND  
TEENS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO MONDAY, SPREADING INTO THE  
OHIO VALLEY BY TUESDAY. A CLIPPER-LIKE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL  
BRING A SWATH OF LIGHT SNOW FROM THE NORTHERN HIGH PLAINS TOWARD  
THE MIDWEST MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY, ALONG WITH A REINFORCING  
SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS.  
 
MEANWHILE, SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO LINGER ACROSS PORTIONS OF  
THE NORTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE HIGH PLAINS THROUGH TONIGHT AND INTO  
MUCH OF MONDAY AHEAD OF THE STATIONARY PORTION OF THE ARCTIC FRONT  
WITH A FOOT OF NEW SNOW POSSIBLE MAINLY NEAR MOUNTAIN PEAKS.  
 
FIRE WEATHER WILL REMAIN A HIGH CONCERN ACROSS FIRE-RAVAGED REGION  
OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. A RESURGENCE OF GUSTY WINDS IS FORECAST  
TONIGHT INTO MONDAY ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AS MID-LEVEL  
IMPULSES SINK SOUTH ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S., ALLOWING FOR A  
RE-TIGHTENING OF THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND GUSTY  
DOWNSLOPE/OFFSHORE WINDS FROM THE DESERT SOUTHWEST INTO SOUTHERN  
CALIFORNIA INTO TUESDAY.  
 
ALONG THE GULF COAST, AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE FORMING ALONG A  
TIGHTENING FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE OPEN GULF WATERS WILL TRACK  
EASTWARD EDGING TOWARD THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION. RAIN IS  
EXPECTED TO EXPAND AND STEADILY MOVE EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF  
STATES THROUGH TONIGHT. BY MONDAY MORNING, RAIN WILL SPREAD  
ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN  
ALABAMA/GEORGIA BUT RAINFALL INTENSITY WILL DIMINISH THROUGHOUT  
THE DAY ON MONDAY. WHILE SOME LIGHT RAIN MAY CONTINUE OVER  
FLORIDA NEAR A FRONTAL BOUNDARY TUESDAY MORNING, MUCH OF THE U.S.  
WILL SEE RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER.  
 
KONG  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 
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