542  
FXUS01 KWBC 271848  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
145 PM EST MON JAN 27 2025  
 
VALID 00Z TUE JAN 28 2025 - 00Z THU JAN 30 2025  
 
...SLOW MOVING STORM TO PUSH EAST FROM SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA INTO  
THE SOUTHWEST...  
 
...LOCALLY HEAVY SNOWS EXPECTED ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES INTO  
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST AND NEW ENGLAND...  
 
...ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE CENTRAL  
TO EASTERN U.S., WHILE BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES STRETCH FROM  
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA INTO THE SOUTHWEST...  
 
A SLOW MOVING UPPER LOW THAT BROUGHT SOME MUCH NEEDED  
PRECIPITATION TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA OVER THE WEEKEND WILL BE  
PUSHING SLOWLY EASTWARD OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS FROM SOUTHERN  
CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST. THIS SYSTEM, HOWEVER, WILL  
BECOME INCREASINGLY MOISTURE STARVED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS IT  
PUSHES INTO THE SOUTHWEST. SUBSEQUENTLY, PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS  
ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHTER OVER THE SOUTHWEST TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY  
THAN WHAT WAS OBSERVED OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THIS PAST WEEKEND.  
THIS PRECIPITATION OVER THE SOUTHWEST WILL BRING LITTLE IN THE  
WAY OF RELIEF TO THE ONGOING DROUGHT CONDITIONS OVER ARIZONA AND  
NEW MEXICO. THERE WILL BE POTENTIAL FOR MORE WIDESPREAD HEAVY  
PRECIPITATION WITH THIS SYSTEM LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY ACROSS  
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE LOWER ARKANSAS VALLEY AS HIGH  
MOISTURE VALUES FEED INTO THIS SYSTEM FROM OFF THE WESTERN GULF.  
THIS SLOW MOVING UPPER LOW WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES BELOW AVERAGE ON  
TUESDAY FROM SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA INTO ARIZONA, WITH THESE BELOW  
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES SPREADING EAST INTO MUCH OF NEW MEXICO ON  
WEDNESDAY.  
 
IN CONTRAST TO THE BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ACROSS SOUTHERN  
CALIFORNIA INTO THE SOUTHWEST, TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN  
WELL ABOVE AVERAGE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS ACROSS MUCH OF THE  
CENTRAL TO EASTERN U.S. HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BE 10  
TO 20+ DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE OVER THESE REGIONS TUESDAY AND  
WEDNESDAY. DESPITE THE WIDESPREAD MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES  
EXPECTED ACROSS THE CENTRAL TO EASTERN U.S., THERE ARE NOT  
EXPECTED TO BE MANY RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES, WITH ONLY A FEW  
FORECAST ACROSS SOUTH DAKOTA, NORTH DAKOTA AND IOWA ON TUESDAY.  
 
MORE TYPICAL WINTRY WEATHER ON TAP ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES INTO  
PORTIONS OF NEW YORK STATE AND NEW ENGLAND OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS  
AS TWO WINTER SYSTEM AFFECT THIS REGION. THE INITIAL SYSTEM WILL  
BE A STRONG COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE GREAT  
LAKES MONDAY NIGHT AND THROUGH NEW ENGLAND EARLY TUESDAY. SNOW  
SQUALLS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS STRONG FRONT FROM THE  
GREAT LAKES INTO THE NORTHEAST, PRODUCING INTENSE SHORT TERM  
SNOWFALL, ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS, POOR VISIBILITY AND DANGEROUS  
DRIVING CONDITIONS. THIS WILL THEN BE FOLLOWED BY AN AREA OF LOW  
PRESSURE PUSHING SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES TUESDAY  
AFTERNOON INTO NORTHERN NEW YORK STATE AND NEW ENGLAND ON  
WEDNESDAY. THIS LOW WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR ACCUMULATING  
SNOWS FROM THE UPPER PENINSULA OF MICHIGAN, THE NORTHERN PORTIONS  
OF THE LOWER PENINSULA OF MICHIGAN, MUCH OF WESTERN TO NORTHERN  
NEW YORK STATE, WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS, INTO MUCH OF VERMONT AND  
NEW HAMPSHIRE.  
 
ORAVEC  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  

 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab HPC Page Main Text Page