898
FXUS01 KWBC 281846
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
142 PM EST TUE JAN 28 2025
VALID 00Z WED JAN 29 2025 - 00Z FRI JAN 31 2025
...HEAVY RAINS, SEVERE WEATHER AND FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE LOWER ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY...
...ANOTHER SHOT OF WINTRY WEATHER ON TAP FROM THE UPPER TO EASTERN
GREAT LAKES INTO NORTHERN NEW YORK STATE AND NEW ENGLAND...
...MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF THE
CENTRAL TO EASTERN U.S...
A STRONG SLOW MOVING MID TO UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE SOUTHWEST
TUESDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE PRESSING STEADILY EASTWARD TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST, AND INTO THE SOUTHERN
HIGH PLAINS ON THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY RELATIVELY
MOISTURE STARVED, RESULTING IN ONLY LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN AND
SNOW AMOUNTS ACROSS LARGE SECTIONS OF ARIZONA, NEW MEXICO AND FAR
SOUTHERN AREAS OF UTAH AND COLORADO. AS THIS SYSTEM PUSHES
EASTWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS ON THURSDAY, MUCH HIGHER
MOISTURE VALUES CURRENTLY ACROSS EAST TEXAS INTO THE GULF WILL BE
DRAWN NORTHWARD INTO THIS SYSTEM. THIS WILL SUPPORT AN INCREASING
AREA OF RAINFALL BEGINNING EARLY THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS CENTRAL
TEXAS INTO CENTRAL TO EASTERN OKLAHOMA, SPREADING NORTHEASTWARD
LATER THURSDAY ACROSS ARKANSAS, MISSOURI, FAR WESTERN TENNESSEE,
FAR WESTERN KENTUCKY INTO SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHERN INDIANA.
HEAVY RAINS LIKELY ACROSS THESE AREAS, LEADING TO ISOLATED
INSTANCES OF FLASH FLOODING. IN ADDITION, THUNDERSTORMS IN THIS
AREA OF HEAVY RAINS WILL ALSO BRING THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER
ACROSS CENTRAL TO EASTERN TEXAS, SOUTHERN ARKANSAS INTO CENTRAL TO
NORTHERN LOUISIANA AND FAR WESTERN MISSISSIPPI.
MORE WINTER WEATHER ON TAP FOR THE NORTHEAST TIER OF THE NATION IN
THE WAKE OF THE STRONG FRONT AND SNOW SQUALLS THAT PUSHED ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST EARLIER TUESDAY. THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM
PUSHING OUT OF SOUTH CENTRAL CANADA INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES IS
ALREADY PRODUCING ACCUMULATING SNOWS ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES
FROM THE EASTERN UPPER PENINSULA INTO THE NORTHERN LOWER PENINSULA
OF MICHIGAN. THIS NEXT STORM IS EXPECTED TO PUSH QUICKLY EAST
SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE UPPER LAKES INTO NORTHERN NEW YORK STATE
TUESDAY NIGHT/EARLY WEDNESDAY AND THEN ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND
LATER WEDNESDAY. AN AREA OF ACCUMULATING SNOWS LIKELY WITH THIS
NEXT LOW ACROSS WESTERN TO UPSTATE NEW YORK INTO CENTRAL TO
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND, WHILE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS ARE LIKELY IN THE
WAKE OF THE LOW DOWNWIND OF ALL OF THE LAKES. THE HEAVIEST
FORECAST SNOW TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE
ADIRONDACKS OF NORTHERN NY STATE AND INTO THE GREEN AND WHITE
MOUNTAINS OF VT AND NH. SNOWFALL TOTALS OF 2-4"+ POSSIBLE IN THE
FAVORED LAKE EFFECT SNOW REGIONS DOWNWIND OF LAKE SUPERIOR,
NORTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN, EASTERN LAKE ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO,
TEMPERATURE WISE, MUCH OF THE CENTRAL TO EASTERN U.S., SAVE FOR
NORTHERN NY STATE INTO NEW ENGLAND, WILL SEE MUCH ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE GREATEST TEMPERATURE
ANOMALIES ARE FORECAST WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE NORTHERN TO CENTRAL
PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND THE MID-ATLANTIC.
ACROSS THESE REGIONS, HIGH TEMPERATURES MAY REACH 10 TO 15+
DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE. EVEN WARMER THAN AVERAGE TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED ON THURSDAY ACROSS THE NORTHERN TO CENTRAL PLAINS/UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION WHERE HIGH TEMPERATURES OF 20 TO 25
DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE ARE POSSIBLE. SEVERAL RECORD HIGH
TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY OVER SOUTHERN MINNESOTA INTO
MUCH OF WISCONSIN. HIGH TEMPERATURES 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE
AVERAGE ALSO POSSIBLE THURSDAY ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY. BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WILL BE
CONFINED TO THE SOUTHWEST INTO THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS,
UNDERNEATH THE ABOVE MENTIONED STRONG MID TO UPPER LEVEL LOW, AND
OVER FAR NORTHERN NY STATE INTO NEW ENGLAND ASSOCIATED WITH THE
ABOVE MENTIONED WINTER WEATHER.
ORAVEC
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