154
FXUS01 KWBC 291959
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
258 PM EST WED JAN 29 2025
VALID 00Z THU JAN 30 2025 - 00Z SAT FEB 01 2025
...HEAVY RAIN, SEVERE WEATHER, AND FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE FROM
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE MID/LOWER MISSISSIPPI AND LOWER OHIO
VALLEYS THROUGH THURSDAY...
...WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION, INCLUDING HEAVY MOUNTAIN SNOW, TO
RETURN TO THE NORTHWEST, NORTHERN CALIFORNIA, AND THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES LATE THIS WEEK...
A STRONG, SLOW-MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE FROM THE
SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES TONIGHT.
STRONG, SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM WILL TAP MOIST,
UNSTABLE AIR -- SUPPORTING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THAT WILL DEVELOP AND SPREAD EAST FROM THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
PLAINS INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS, PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS A TORNADO, ARE
POSSIBLE TONIGHT FROM CENTRAL TEXAS TO FAR SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. IN
ADDITION TO SEVERE WEATHER, AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED
FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE AS WELL FROM PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN TEXAS
TO WESTERN ARKANSAS. COLD AIR ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE SYSTEM WILL
SUPPORT SNOW ACROSS PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES, WITH
ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO A FOOT POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
OF THE NORTHERN NEW MEXICO RANGES.
THE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO MOVE MORE STEADILY TO THE EAST ON
THURSDAY, BRINGING SHOWERS AND STORMS AND THE THREAT FOR SEVERE
WEATHER FARTHER EAST AS WELL. STRONG, ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS,
PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL, WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM EASTERN
TEXAS THROUGH THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THE THREAT FOR HEAVY
RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING WILL EXTEND FARTHER NORTHEAST FROM
NORTHEASTERN TEXAS INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY.
BY LATE FRIDAY, THE STORM WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES QUICKLY
INTO THE EASTERN U.S. WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED ACROSS
THE EASTERN-THIRD OF THE CONUS. HOWEVER, THE THREAT FOR SEVERE
WEATHER WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF
COAST, WITH WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL NOT EXPECTED. ACCUMULATING
SNOWFALL WILL BE LIMITED AS WELL. LACKING COLD AIR, THIS STORM IS
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ONLY SOME MINOR ACCUMULATIONS NORTH OF THE LOW
TRACK AS IT MOVES INTO THE NORTHEAST ON FRIDAY.
DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE WESTERN U.S. UNTIL LATE
THURSDAY WHEN A FRONTAL SYSTEM BEGINS TO IMPACT THE NORTHWEST.
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION, INCLUDING HEAVY MOUNTAIN SNOW, WILL
BEGIN TO SPREAD EAST ACROSS THE NORTHWEST INTO THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES AND SOUTH INTO NORTHERN CALIFORNIA, THURSDAY NIGHT.
PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD FARTHER SOUTH AND EAST ON
FRIDAY, WITH HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS LIKELY ACROSS OLYMPICS, AND
PORTIONS OF THE CASCADES, AND THE NORTHERN ROCKIES.
APART FROM SOME BELOW-AVERAGE TEMPERATURES BEHIND A COLD FRONT
SINKING SOUTH ACROSS THE NORTHEAST, TEMPERATURES WILL BE WELL
ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN U.S. ON THURSDAY.
DAYTIME TEMPERATURE TOPPING OUT IN THE LOWER 40S TO UPPER 50S ARE
EXPECTED TO SET NEW DAILY RECORDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
MINNESOTA, WISCONSIN, AND NORTHERN ILLINOIS. ABOVE-NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ARE THEN FORECAST TO SPREAD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF
THE EASTERN U.S. ON FRIDAY. FOLLOWING A CHILLY START,
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO MODERATE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST AND THE
SOUTHERN ROCKIES THROUGH THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. ELSEWHERE
IN THE WEST, TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR SEASONAL TO
ABOVE-NORMAL FOR MANY LOCATIONS.
PEREIRA
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page