183
FXUS01 KWBC 301932
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
231 PM EST THU JAN 30 2025
VALID 00Z FRI JAN 31 2025 - 00Z SUN FEB 02 2025
...PRECIPITATION RETURNS TO THE WEST COAST, SIGNALING THE
BEGINNING OF A WET PATTERN...
...MUCH NEEDED RAINS SPREAD INTO THE UPPER TENNESSEE VALLEY,
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS, MID-ATLANTIC AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...
...ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL STRETCH ACROSS MUCH OF THE
LOWER 48 HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND...
AFTER SEVERAL WEEKS OF NO PRECIPITATION ALONG LARGE PORTIONS OF
THE WEST COAST, A MORE ACTIVE WEST COAST WEATHER PATTERN IS SET TO
BEGIN THURSDAY EVENING/NIGHT AS PRECIPITATION SPREADS INLAND OFF
THE PACIFIC INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN CALIFORNIA.
RAINS AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOWS WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY FROM NORTHERN CALIFORNIA INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST FROM
THE CASCADES WESTWARD TO THE COAST. THE RECENT DRY WEST COAST
WEATHER HAS LEFT THE REGION WELL BELOW AVERAGE THIS MONTH WITH
PRECIPITATION. THIS WILL REDUCE THE THREAT OF ANY FLOODING FROM
THE EXPECTED HEAVY RAINS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. HOWEVER, THIS IS
THE BEGINNING OF AN OVERALL WETTER WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE WEST
COAST THAT WILL BRING ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF POTENTIALLY HEAVY
PRECIPITATION INTO NORTHERN CALIFORNIA FOR NEXT WEEK, AND RESULT
IN INCREASING FLOOD THREATS WITH TIME.
ACTIVE WEATHER CURRENTLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO
LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION WILL BE SPREADING NORTHEASTWARD
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY THROUGH THE OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS,
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TO CENTRAL APPALACHIANS, INTO THE MID ATLANTIC
AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AS A STORM SYSTEM PUSHES NORTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THESE AREAS OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS. MUCH OF THE EASTERN
U.S. HAS SEEN BELOW AVERAGE PRECIPITATION RECENTLY, RESULTING IN
AREAS FROM THE UPPER TENNESSEE VALLEY/SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS INTO
THE MID-ATLANTIC AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND EXPERIENCING MODERATE TO
SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS. THE EXPECTED RAINFALL TOTALS OF .50 TO
1+ INCHES, WHILE ONLY PUTTING A DENT IN THE DROUGHT, WILL BE MUCH
WELCOMED. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL TOTALS EXPECTED ACROSS THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS FROM EASTERN KENTUCKY INTO WEST VIRGINIA AND FAR
SOUTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA. MELTING SNOWS AND SATURATED SOILS MAY
LEAD TO ISOLATED FLOODING ISSUES ACROSS THESE REGIONS, WITH FLOOD
WATCHES CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. ISOLATED FLOODING ISSUES ALSO
POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MISSOURI AND MID-MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY REGIONS FROM NORTHEAST KANSAS, ACROSS NORTHERN MISSOURI,
SOUTHEAST IOWA AND NORTHERN ILLINOIS FROM RAIN FALLING ON STILL
FROZEN GROUND. THIS WILL REDUCE THE AMOUNT OF RAIN ABSORBED INTO
THE GROUND, ENHANCING RUNOFF INTO STREAMS AND LEADING TO ISOLATED
FLOODING.
ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE LOWER 48
FOR THE END OF THE WORKWEEK AND THE WEEKEND. THE EXCEPTION WILL
BE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND NEW ENGLAND ON SATURDAY WHEN
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW AVERAGE IN THE WAKE OF A
STRONG COLD FRONT. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE LOWER 48, HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE AVERAGE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. HIGH
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO BE 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE FRIDAY
ACROSS NEARLY ALL OF THE CENTRAL TO EASTERN U.S. BY SATURDAY,
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REACH 15 TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE ACROSS
ALL OF THE PLAINS AND 5 TO 10+ DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE TO THE
SOUTHEAST OF THIS INTO THE SOUTHEAST U.S., AND WESTWARD INTO THE
GREAT BASIN.
ORAVEC
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page