492  
FOUS30 KWBC 162233  
QPFERD  
 
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
533 PM EST SUN FEB 16 2025  
 
DAY 1  
VALID 01Z MON FEB 17 2025 - 12Z MON FEB 17 2025  
 
THE PROBABILITY OF RAINFALL EXCEEDING FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE IS LESS  
THAN FIVE PERCENT.  
 
ROTH/GALLINA  
 
DAY 2  
VALID 12Z MON FEB 17 2025 - 12Z TUE FEB 18 2025  
 
THE PROBABILITY OF RAINFALL EXCEEDING FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE IS LESS  
THAN FIVE PERCENT.  
 
ROTH/PEREIRA  
 
DAY 3  
VALID 12Z TUE FEB 18 2025 - 12Z WED FEB 19 2025  
 
...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ALONG PORTIONS OF  
THE CENTRAL GULF COAST...  
 
STRENGTHENING SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AHEAD AN AMPLIFYING UPPER LEVEL  
SHORTWAVE AND AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT ARE EXPECTED TO DRAW DEEPER  
MOISTURE INTO PARTS OF THE GULF COAST, WITH PWS CLIMBING TO AROUND  
1.5 INCHES. THIS MOISTURE ALONG WITH INCREASING LIFT AND  
INSTABILITY MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL RATES. MODELS  
OFFER A MODEST SIGNAL FOR TRAINING STORMS AHEAD OF A SURFACE LOW  
THAT IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP AND ADVANCE EAST ALONG THE COAST  
WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS MAY HELP SUPPORT LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL,  
WITH SOME POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING, ESPECIALLY IN  
URBANIZED AREAS.  
 
ROTH/PEREIRA  
 
DAY 1 THREAT AREA: HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/94EPOINTS.TXT  
DAY 2 THREAT AREA: HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/98EPOINTS.TXT  
DAY 3 THREAT AREA: HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/99EPOINTS.TXT  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab HPC Page Main Text Page