595
FXUS01 KWBC 080743
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
242 AM EST SAT MAR 08 2025
VALID 12Z SAT MAR 08 2025 - 12Z MON MAR 10 2025
...HEAVY SNOW SPREADS FROM SOUTHERN ROCKIES THIS MORNING INTO
SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON...
...COLD FRONT USHERS IN COOLER AIR ACROSS SOUTHERN STATES WHILE
NORTHERN TIER WARMS UP...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER FOR PARTS OF WEST/SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS
TODAY...
A SPLIT FLOW PATTERN FEATURING AN AMPLIFIED SOUTHERN STREAM TROUGH
WILL SUPPORT UNSETTLED WEATHER FROM NEW MEXICO TO FLORIDA THIS
WEEKEND. ONGOING SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS
AND FOOTHILLS OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES THIS MORNING ARE LIKELY TO
SPREAD INTO THE TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES THIS AFTERNOON.
GENERALLY, 3-6 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL SNOW IS PROBABLE WHEN IT'S ALL
SAID AND DONE. WINTER STORM WARNINGS AND WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES
REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS MORNING. MEANWHILE, SCATTERED RAIN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF OKLAHOMA.
THE ASSOCIATED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN WHILE IT MOVES
ACROSS THE GULF COAST THIS WEEKEND; GENERATING SCATTERED RAIN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG ITS PATH. EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AND
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM RISKS REMAIN MARGINAL AT THIS TIME, DUE IN
PART TO THE PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE SYSTEM.
COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE COLD
FRONT. HIGHS IN THE 30S AND 40S OVER PARTS OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO
AND THE TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES WILL BE 15-30 DEGREES BELOW
AVERAGE TODAY, WHILE PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST EXPERIENCE HIGHS THAT
ARE BETWEEN 10-20 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE. VERY DRY (10-20% RH) AND
GUSTY WINDS (UP TO 35 MPH) BEHIND THE ATTENDANT COLD FRONT WILL
SUPPORT A CRITICAL RISK OF FIRES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS
TRANS-PECOS AND MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY TODAY. RED FLAG WARNINGS
ARE IN EFFECT UNTIL 8PM CST THIS EVENING.
ELSEWHERE, RIDGING IN THE WEST WITH EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE ENERGY
MOVING THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA WILL SUPPORT SOUTHERLY FLOW WITH AN
INCREASINGLY WARMER AIRMASS THROUGHOUT THE REGION THIS WEEKEND.
HIGHS IN THE 50S AND 60S ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER
MIDWEST WILL BE 15-30 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR,
WITH PEAK ANOMALIES OCCURRING ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. PERSISTENT
TROUGHING IN THE EAST PACIFIC WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE MOIST
ONSHORE FLOW AND HEAVY MOUNTAIN SNOW OVER THE OLYMPICS AND
CASCADES THIS WEEKEND. A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE ENERGY CYCLING
THROUGH THE NORTHEAST WILL PRODUCE SOME LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS OVER
THE ADIRONDACKS AND GREEN/WHITE MOUNTAINS THIS WEEKEND. VERY LIGHT
SNOW WILL ALSO PERSIST DOWNWIND OF THE GREAT LAKES WITH LITTLE TO
NO IMPACTS LIKELY FROM THAT.
KEBEDE
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