603
FXUS01 KWBC 100718
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
317 AM EDT MON MAR 10 2025
VALID 12Z MON MAR 10 2025 - 12Z WED MAR 12 2025
...WIDESPREAD RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE UPPER MIDWEST AND NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER RISK OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS
TODAY THEN SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE ATLANTIC TODAY WHILE
PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE ON TUESDAY. MEANWHILE, A
POTENT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DIP INTO THE NORTHERN TIER STATES
TODAY, BRINGING STRONG WINDS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR FIRES TO THE
REGION. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM, WARM SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL SUPPORT
ANOMALOUSLY HIGH MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S AND 60S WITH SOME
ISOLATED AREAS POSSIBLY EXCEEDING 70 DEGREES. THESE ANOMALOUS
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL REPRESENT 20-40 DEGREE DEPARTURES FROM
AVERAGE FOR MUCH OF THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST,
WHERE WIDESPREAD RECORDS MAY BE TIED OR BROKEN. THE ARRIVAL OF THE
ATTENDANT COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING WILL MODERATE
TEMPERATURES AS WELL AS INCREASE POTENTIAL FOR FIRES. THE STORM
PREDICTION CENTER ISSUED A CRITICAL RISK OF FIRES FOR MUCH OF THE
DAKOTAS WHERE DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL SUPPORT WILDFIRES.
AN UPPER TROUGH IN THE EAST PACIFIC WILL PROPAGATE THROUGH THE
SOUTHWEST ON TUESDAY, SENDING DRY DOWNSLOPE FLOW FROM THE SOUTHERN
ROCKIES INTO THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. THE ADDITION OF SUSTAINED
WINDS, LIKELY BETWEEN 15-25 MPH, WILL SUPPORT A CRITICAL RISK OF
FIRES FOR PORTIONS OF FAR SOUTHEAST ARIZONA INTO SOUTHERN NEW
MEXICO AND FAR WESTERN TEXAS. THE CRITICAL FIRE RISK IS LIKELY TO
CONTINUE OVER THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS THROUGH THE REST OF THE
WEEK. AN AMPLIFIED UPPER TROUGH WILL BRING UNSETTLED WEATHER TO
THE WEST COAST TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
KEBEDE
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