005
FXUS01 KWBC 102010
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
409 PM EDT MON MAR 10 2025
VALID 00Z TUE MAR 11 2025 - 00Z THU MAR 13 2025
...WIDESPREAD RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE UPPER MIDWEST AND NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER RISK OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS
TODAY THEN SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST AND FLORIDA PENINSULA AS A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM TRACKS FURTHER OFFSHORE. MEANWHILE OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS
STRONG, GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH A POTENT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
AND COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTH ARE INCREASING THE RISK FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT AND SPREADING OF WILDFIRES. THE STORM PREDICTION
CENTER HAS HIGHLIGHTED AN AREA FROM EASTERN MONTANA/WYOMING TO THE
WESTERN MINNESOTA BORDER WITH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM, WARM SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL SUPPORT ANOMALOUSLY
HIGH MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S AND 60S WITH SOME ISOLATED
AREAS POSSIBLY EXCEEDING 70 DEGREES. THESE ANOMALOUS MAXIMUM
TEMPERATURES WILL REPRESENT 20-40 DEGREE DEPARTURES FROM AVERAGE
FOR MUCH OF THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST, WHERE
WIDESPREAD RECORDS MAY BE TIED OR BROKEN.
DRY DOWNSLOPE FLOW CAN BE EXPECTED TUESDAY FROM THE SOUTHERN
ROCKIES TO THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS AS AN UPPER TROUGH MOVES
THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST. THESE DRY GUSTY WINDS (15 TO 25 MPH) WILL
SUPPORT CRITICAL RISK FOR FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR SOUTHEAST
ARIZONA, SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR WESTERN TEXAS. FIRE DANGER
WILL LIKELY REMAIN ELEVATED FOR THIS REGION FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK. AN AMPLIFIED UPPER TROUGH WILL BRING UNSETTLED WEATHER
TO THE WEST COAST TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
CAMPBELL/KEBEDE
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