568  
FXUS01 KWBC 160803  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
402 AM EDT SUN MAR 16 2025  
 
VALID 12Z SUN MAR 16 2025 - 12Z TUE MAR 18 2025  
 
...HEAVY SNOW MOVING INTO THE CASCADES AND NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN  
REGION AS A QUICK ROUND OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW I...HEAVY SNOW  
OVER THE CASCADES/NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION/ NORTHERN ROCKIES  
AND LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES...  
 
...A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE PARTS OF THE  
LOWER GREAT LAKES, CENTRAL APPALACHIANS, MID-ATLANTIC, AND THE  
SOUTHEAST...  
 
...TEMPERATURES WILL BE 15 TO 25 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE OVER PARTS  
OF THE NORTHEAST/CENTRAL APPALACHIANS...  
 
A FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE LOWER GREAT LAKES TO THE CENTRAL GULF  
COAST WILL MOVE OFF THE EAST COAST BY OVERNIGHT MONDAY. AHEAD OF  
THE FRONT, TEMPERATURES WILL BE 15 TO 25 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE IN  
PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST/CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. THE STORM WILL  
PRODUCE SHOWERS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOWER GREAT  
LAKES TO THE SOUTHEAST ON SUNDAY. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A  
SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE  
LOWER GREAT LAKES, CENTRAL APPALACHIANS, MID-ATLANTIC, AND THE  
SOUTHEAST THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS ASSOCIATED WITH  
THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE THUNDERSTORM  
WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND A FEW TORNADOES.  
 
IN ADDITION, LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE  
UPPER GREAT LAKES/MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY ON SUNDAY. ALSO, RAIN  
WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE UPPER GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY  
ON SUNDAY.  
 
BY MONDAY, THE THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL END AS THE  
BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO MOVE EASTWARD OVER THE ATLANTIC OCEAN. RAIN  
WILL CONTINUE OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST INTO THE NORTHERN  
MID-ATLANTIC ON MONDAY MORNING, WITH A NARROW BAND OF LIGHT SNOW  
ON THE NORTHWEST SIDE OF THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD FROM PARTS OF  
THE LOWER GREAT LAKES TO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS. THE RAIN AND  
SNOW WILL WIND DOWN OVER PARTS OF NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND BY MONDAY  
EVENING.  
 
MEANWHILE, ON SUNDAY, A SECOND FRONT OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST  
WILL MOVE INLAND TO PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES TO THE CENTRAL PLAINS  
AND THEN SOUTHWESTWARD TO THE SOUTHWEST BY TUESDAY. ON SUNDAY, THE  
SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE COASTAL RAIN AND HIGHER-ELEVATION SNOW OVER  
PARTS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST/NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. THE COASTAL  
RAIN AND HIGHER-ELEVATION SNOW WILL MOVE INTO CENTRAL CALIFORNIA  
BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. FURTHERMORE, THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY OVER THE  
CASCADES, NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN REGION, AND NORTHERN ROCKIES. AS  
THE SYSTEM MOVES ONTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS, LIGHT SNOW WILL ALSO  
DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER MISSISSIPPI  
VALLEY ON SUNDAY.  
 
OVERNIGHT SUNDAY, A TRAILING FRONT WILL MOVE ONSHORE OVER PARTS OF  
CALIFORNIA AND CONTINUE INTO THE SOUTHWEST BY MONDAY EVENING.  
COASTAL RAIN AND HIGHER-ELEVATION SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVER PARTS OF  
CALIFORNIA AND THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. SNOW  
MOVES INTO THE GREAT BASIN AND THE CENTRAL ROCKIES ON MONDAY  
MORNING. THE SNOW WILL BE HEAVY OVER THE SIERRA NEVADA MOUNTAINS  
ON MONDAY. MOREOVER, AS PART OF THE BOUNDARY MOVES INTO THE  
MIDWEST, LIGHT SNOW CONTINUES OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN  
PLAINS/UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND THE UPPER GREAT LAKES ON  
MONDAY.  
 
ZIEGENFELDER  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 
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