064
FXUS01 KWBC 120733
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
332 AM EDT SAT APR 12 2025
VALID 12Z SAT APR 12 2025 - 12Z MON APR 14 2025
...WEATHER SYSTEM TRACKING ACROSS THE WEST WILL BRING THE CHANCES
FOR THUNDERSTORMS, RAIN SHOWERS, AND MOUNTAIN SNOW THIS WEEKEND ...
...ELEVATED AND CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FORECAST FOR THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS AND PARTS OF THE SOUTHWEST SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...
...ABOVE NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR THE GREAT BASIN AND
SOUTHWEST TO REMAIN FOR THE WEEKEND BEFORE COOLING OFF...
ENERGY ALONG A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE MOUNTAIN WEST WILL
BRING THE CHANCE FOR LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TO THE
HIGHER TERRAIN ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. A COUPLE OF INCHES OF
SNOW IS IN THE FORECAST FOR PARTS OF THE REGION FOR SATURDAY INTO
SUNDAY. FOR AREAS IN LOWER ELEVATION AND VALLEYS, THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR SOME LOCALLY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS THAT MAY BRING THE
THREAT FOR GUSTY WINDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE BLACK HILLS AND BIG
HORNS FOR SOUTH DAKOTA, WYOMING, AND SOUTHERN MONTANA.
PRECIPITATION CHANCES AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL SHIFT EASTWARD
WITH THE SYSTEM ACROSS THE NORTH PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST ON
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SHOULD BEGIN TO FORM
AND DEEPEN NEAR THE GREAT LAKES ON MONDAY, WHICH WILL BRING AN
INCREASE IN WINDS AND PERHAPS SOME WINTRY WEATHER ON THE BACKSIDE
OF THE LOW PRESSURE ACROSS MINNESOTA AND UPPER PENINSULA OF
MICHIGAN.
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS, A SURFACE LOW SHOULD BEGIN TO DEVELOP
OVER THE PLAINS AHEAD OF A TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE WEST. WINDS
COULD GUST IN THE 15-25 MPH RANGE AS A RESULT OF THE FORMING
PRESSURE GRADIENT. ADDITIONALLY, RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE VERY
LOW SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AS A RESULT OF DRY AIR AND WARM
TEMPERATURES THAT WILL PROMOTE FAVORABLE FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
ACCORDINGLY FOR THE WEEKEND. FLORIDA ALSO HAS ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS TODAY AS LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, WIND GUSTS IN THE
LOW TEENS, AND DRY FUELS WILL BE PRESENT IN THE WAKE OF A COLD
FRONT PASSAGE EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
HIGHLY ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL HANG ON FOR THE WEEKEND AS
SOUTHERLY FLOW PERSISTS AHEAD OF THE WESTERN STORM SYSTEM.
TEMPERATURE ANOMALIES MAY BE AS HIGH AS 20-25 DEGREES ABOVE
AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL NEAR
100, A FEW SITES COULD PASS THE CENTURY MARK, ACROSS THE DESERT
SOUTHWEST ON SATURDAY AND REACH THE MIDDLE 90S ON SUNDAY. HIGHS IN
THE 90S AND 80S WILL BE FELT ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF TEXAS AND
NORTHWARDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THE MOUNTAIN WEST SHOULD SEE
COOLER HIGHS IN THE 40S AND 50S BEHIND THE COLD FRONT PASSAGE. THE
EAST COAST IS IN A VERY DIFFERENT WEATHER PATTERN AS GENERAL
TROUGHING PERSISTS, AND A COASTAL LOW BRINGS RAIN SHOWERS . RAIN
SHOWERS SHOULD BE ON THE DECLINE IN COVERAGE SATURDAY AND
ESPECIALLY SUNDAY AS THE COASTAL LOW EXITS THE REGION, BUT
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON THE COOL SIDE AS HIGHS IN THE 40S AND 50S
WILL BE COMMON ACROSS THE NORTHEAST. WARMTH ACROSS THE PLAINS
SHOULD BEGIN TO ENTER THE OHIO VALLEY AND MID-ATLANTIC STARTING
SUNDAY AS A WARM FRONT BEGINS TO MOVE ACROSS THE COUNTRY.
RIVER FLOODING IS OCCURRING ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AS WATER
DRAINS DOWN THE BASIN FROM THE MULTI-DAY STORM LAST WEEK. SEVERAL
SITES REMAIN IN MODERATE AND MAJOR FLOOD STAGE. PAY ATTENTION TO
LOCAL OFFICIALS FOR LOCAL INFORMATION.
WILDER
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