674  
FXUS01 KWBC 131916  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
315 PM EDT SUN APR 13 2025  
 
VALID 00Z MON APR 14 2025 - 00Z WED APR 16 2025  
 
...MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW OVER THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE UPPER  
PENINSULA OF MICHIGAN FROM SUNDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING AND  
SNOW OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...  
 
...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF  
THE OHIO VALLEY AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS ON MONDAY...  
 
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST OVER PARTS OF THE  
SOUTHWEST TO THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS ON SUNDAY...  
 
A FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE  
SOUTHERN PLAINS AND THEN WESTWARD TO THE GREAT BASIN WILL MOVE  
EASTWARD OFF THE EASTERN SEABOARD AND SOUTHWARD TO THE GULF COAST  
AND THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS BY TUESDAY EVENING. ON SUNDAY  
EVENING, THE SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE RAIN WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS  
OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS, UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, UPPER  
GREAT LAKES, AND WESTERN OHIO VALLEY.  
 
IN ADDITION, ALONG THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE FRONT, LIGHT SNOW  
AND RAIN WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES FROM  
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. FURTHER, OVERNIGHT SUNDAY, LIGHT  
TO MODERATE SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS  
AND UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. ON MONDAY, SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE  
WESTERN UPPER PENINSULA OF MICHIGAN AND LIGHT RAIN WILL BE OVER  
PARTS OF THE UPPER GREAT LAKES.  
 
ALSO, SHOWERS AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF  
THE OHIO VALLEY AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS ON MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO  
EVENING. THEREFORE, THE SPC HAS ISSUED A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/5)  
OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE OHIO VALLEY/CENTRAL  
APPALACHIANS FROM MONDAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING. THE HAZARDS  
ASSOCIATED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT LIGHTNING, SEVERE  
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS, HAIL, AND A FEW TORNADOES.  
 
MOREOVER, MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE-ENHANCED SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVER  
THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE UPPER PENINSULA OF MICHIGAN FROM MONDAY  
EVENING INTO TUESDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER  
PARTS OF THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC MONDAY EVENING INTO TUESDAY AS  
RAIN MOVES INTO PARTS OF THE NORTHEAST.  
 
MEANWHILE, GUSTY WINDS, LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY, AND DRY FUELS WILL  
CONTRIBUTE TO A CRITICAL RISK OF FIRE WEATHER OVER PARTS OF THE  
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES. FURTHERMORE, UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY  
WILL CREATE RAIN OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHWEST AND RAIN AND SNOW  
OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES TUESDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY  
EVENING.  
 
ELSEWHERE, LOW PRESSURE MOVING AWAY FROM NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND WILL  
PRODUCE LIGHT SNOW OVER NORTHERN MAINE AND COASTAL RAIN ON SUNDAY  
EVENING INTO MONDAY MORNING. ADDITIONALLY, COASTAL RAIN WILL  
DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND FROM SUNDAY EVENING  
INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING.  
 
ZIEGENFELDER  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab HPC Page
Main Text Page