380  
FXUS01 KWBC 011814  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
213 PM EDT SUN JUN 01 2025  
 
VALID 00Z MON JUN 02 2025 - 00Z WED JUN 04 2025  
 
...WARMING TREND FOR THE EAST, WHILE MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES  
SPREAD FROM THE ROCKIES INTO THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS...  
 
...HEAVY RAINS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST SUNDAY NIGHT INTO  
MONDAY AND ACROSS CENTRAL TO SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH TUESDAY...  
 
...WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN/FLOODING THREAT DEVELOPING FROM THE  
SOUTHERN TO CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...  
 
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE LARGE SCALE FLOW PATTERN EXPECTED OVER  
THE NEXT FEW DAYS, WITH VERY ACTIVE HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL IN  
SEVERAL SECTIONS OF THE NATION. THE DEEP UPPER TROF THAT HAS KEPT  
TEMPERATURES WELL BELOW AVERAGE OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS ACROSS  
THE EASTERN U.S., WILL BE PUSHING OFF THE EAST COAST LATE MONDAY  
INTO TUESDAY. THIS WILL BE REPLACED BY A BUILDING UPPER RIDGE AND  
SUPPORT MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES FOR THE EARLY AND MIDDLE PART OF  
THE NEW WEEK FOR MOST AREAS TO THE EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.  
 
THE BUILDING UPPER RIDGE ACROSS THE EAST WILL BE THE NORTHERN  
COMPONENT OF A DEVELOPING REX BLOCK ALONG THE EAST COAST. THE  
SOUTHERN PORTION OF THIS BLOCK WILL BE COMPRISED OF A DEVELOPING  
UPPER LOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL TO EASTERN GULF AND FLORIDA. THIS  
UPPER LOW, AND A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY AT THE SURFACE ACROSS  
CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL SUPPORT HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL FOR CENTRAL TO  
SOUTHERN FLORIDA OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. MUCH OF FLORIDA IS  
COMING OUT OF THE DRY SEASON WITH SEVERE TO EXTREME DROUGHT  
CONDITIONS, WITH THE UPCOMING HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL MUCH WELCOMED  
HYDROLOGICALLY. THIS HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL WILL ALSO POSE A  
FLOODING THREAT, PRIMARILY IN THE URBANIZED AREAS OF CENTRAL TO  
SOUTHERN FLORIDA OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  
 
ACROSS THE MIDDLE PORTION OF THE NATION, BIG TEMPERATURE CHANGES  
ALSO ON TAP WITH MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES DEVELOPING FROM THE  
ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS WILL BE IN  
RESPONSE TO A STRONG COLD FRONT PUSHING EAST INTO THE NORTHERN  
PLAINS TONIGHT AND MONDAY, SOUTHWARD INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS BY  
EARLY TUESDAY AND INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BY WEDNESDAY. THIS  
FRONT WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR AN EXPANDING AREA OF HEAVY RAINS AS  
ABOVE AVERAGE MOISTURE VALUES FROM THE SUB-TROPICAL EASTERN  
PACIFIC ARE DRAWN NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THIS  
NORTHEASTWARD PUSH OF ABOVE AVERAGE MOISTURE VALUES WILL INITIALLY  
PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS AND LOCALIZED FLOODING THREATS FROM LATE  
SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST INTO THE EASTERN  
GREAT BASIN AND SOUTHERN TO CENTRAL ROCKIES. THIS ABOVE AVERAGE  
MOISTURE WILL THEN STREAM NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE ABOVE MENTIONED  
STRONG FRONT, SUPPORTING AN EXPANDING AREA OF HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL  
LATE MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY ACROSS THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN PLAINS.  
THESE HEAVY RAINS WILL BRING SOME DROUGHT RELIEF TO PORTIONS OF  
THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS OVER THE SOUTHERN  
PLAINS INTO THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THAT HAVE SEEN MUCH ABOVE  
AVERAGE PRECIPITATION OVER THE PAST MONTH. THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT  
ACROSS THE CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY  
AN INCREASING SEVERE WEATHER THREAT, WITH HIGH WINDS AND LARGE  
HAIL THE GREATEST SEVERE WEATHER THREAT, WITH A LESSER THREAT OF  
TORNADOES.  
 
ORAVEC  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 

 
 
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