050
FXUS01 KWBC 080703
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
303 AM EDT SUN JUN 8 2025
VALID 12Z SUN JUN 8 2025 - 12Z TUE JUN 10 2025
...ACTIVE SEVERE WEATHER SETUP FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE
SOUTHEAST THIS WEEKEND AND INTO MONDAY...
...HEAVY SHOWERS & THUNDERSTORMS TO POSE BOTH A FLASH FLOODING AND
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IN PARTS OF THE MIDWEST AND MID-ATLANTIC...
...STIFLING HEAT DOME TO BUILD IN THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE WEST AND
THE WESTERN GULF COAST; HOTTEST TEMPERATURES COMPARED TO NORMAL
CENTERED OVER THE NORTHWEST...
THE MAIN THING MAKING WEATHER HEADLINES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS WILL BE THE POTENTIAL SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK ACROSS PORTIONS
OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTHERN TEXAS ON SUNDAY. THE STORM PREDICTION
CENTER HAS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE TO JUST NORTH OF THE GREATER DALLAS/FORT WORTH
METROPLEX. THERE WILL LIKELY BE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SUPERCELLS
THAT EVOLVE INTO MULTIPLE MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEMS (MCS), WITH
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL THE PRIMARY THREATS, AND SOME
TORNADOES ARE ALSO A POSSIBILITY. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT FROM
THE NORTH WILL INTERCEPT A HIGHLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT EAST OF THE
DRY LINE, AND FUEL THE DEVELOPMENT OF INTENSE CONVECTION GOING
INTO THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT, PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO SOME
INSTANCES OF FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THIS SAME GENERAL AREA THROUGH
EARLY MONDAY MORNING, WITH SOME AREAS POTENTIALLY GETTING 2 TO 4
INCHES OF RAIN.
ANOTHER AREA OF STORMY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO BE ACROSS COASTAL
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST U.S. INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC ON SUNDAY AS
A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE AND AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES
OVERHEAD, WHERE A SLIGHT RISK OF BOTH SEVERE WEATHER AND EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL IS VALID, WITH THE HEAVIEST RAIN MAINLY CONFINED TO
VIRGINIA AND EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA. MORE HEAVY SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE WORK WEEK ACROSS
MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST U.S. AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLS ACROSS THE
REGION. FARTHER NORTH ACROSS PENNSYLVANIA INTO UPSTATE NEW YORK, A
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT ON MONDAY.
ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CONTINENTAL U.S., WIDESPREAD ANOMALOUS HEAT
WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST
THROUGH MONDAY WITH HEAT ADVISORIES IN EFFECT FROM NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA TO EASTERN WASHINGTON AND NORTHERN IDAHO, AND DAILY
RECORD HIGHS ARE LIKELY FOR SOME AREAS. IT WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO
BE UNCOMFORTABLY HOT AND HUMID FROM TEXAS AND EXTENDING EAST
ACROSS THE GULF COAST, WITH HIGH DEWPOINTS AND TEMPERATURES IN THE
UPPER 80S TO MIDDLE 90S MAKING IT FEEL OVER 100 DEGREES AT TIMES
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. AIR QUALITY ALERTS ARE IN EFFECT
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST AND ALSO THE UPPER MIDWEST AS
WILDFIRE SMOKE FROM DISTANT CANADIAN WILDFIRES CONTINUES TO
INFILTRATE THOSE AREAS. THERE IS ALSO AN ELEVATED WILDFIRE RISK
ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS OF MONTANA ON SUNDAY.
HAMRICK
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