302
FXUS01 KWBC 102029
PMDSPD
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
428 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2025
VALID 00Z WED JUN 11 2025 - 00Z FRI JUN 13 2025
...HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL LIKELY ACROSS PARTS OF TEXAS AND
OKLAHOMA OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS ...
..RECORD HEAT OUT WEST WILL BEGIN TO MODIFY
A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED WEST TO EAST FROM THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE SOUTHEAST WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. ANOMALOUS MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY POOLING ALONG THIS BOUNDARY WILL SUPPORT DAILY HEAVY
RAINFALL THREATS, PARTICULARLY FOR PARTS OF TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
WHERE WPC HAS HIGHLIGHTED SLIGHT RISK AREAS ON THE EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL OUTLOOKS FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AND THEN EASTWARD
TOWARDS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY FRIDAY. ADDITIONALLY, STORM
PREDICTION CENTER HAS MOST OF TEXAS UNDER A MARGINAL RISK FOR
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH INSTABILITY
AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES LINGERING AROUND; HAZARDS WILL BE GUSTY
WINDS AND HAIL. THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN WILL ALSO SEE SOME
THUNDERSTORMS RIDE ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND BRING THREATS FOR
SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN. WPC HAS A MARGINAL RISK FOR
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACTIVE FOR WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST
AND A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) ON THURSDAY AS THERE IS MORE
CONFIDENCE IN A HIGHER QPF FOOTPRINT. FOR SEVERE WEATHER, THE
STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND
MIDWEST UNDER A MARGINAL RISK AS GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL COULD BE
POSSIBLE WITH THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NEXY FEW DAYS. FLORIDA MAY
ALSO SEEM LOCALLY HEAVY THUNDERSTORMS AND DOWNPOURS AS AMPLE
TROPICAL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY BRING THE START TO THE RAINY
SEASON UNDERWAY.
RECORD HEAT ACROSS THE WEST SHOULD BEGIN TO SUBSIDE AS HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGING BECOMES LESS PRONOUNCED. HIGH TEMPERATURES OUT
WEST SHOULD LOWER TO THE 80S AND SOME LOW 90S OPPOSED TO THE 100S
SEEN ON MONDAY AND THE WEEKEND. PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS MAY SEE
TEMPERATURES STILL REACH THE LOW 100S ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE
VALLEY, BUT CLOUDS AND RAINFALL SHOULD HAMPER THE EXTREME HEAT
RISK. ELSEWHERE, THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN U.S. WILL BE SEASONABLE
FOR EARLY JUNE WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S AND LOW 90S. THE
NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST WILL BE ON THE COOLER SIDE NORTH
OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S.
WILDER
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP
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