302  
FXUS01 KWBC 102029  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
428 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2025  
 
VALID 00Z WED JUN 11 2025 - 00Z FRI JUN 13 2025  
 
...HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL LIKELY ACROSS PARTS OF TEXAS AND  
OKLAHOMA OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS ...  
   
..RECORD HEAT OUT WEST WILL BEGIN TO MODIFY  
 
A STATIONARY FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED WEST TO EAST FROM THE  
SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE SOUTHEAST WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. ANOMALOUS MOISTURE AND  
INSTABILITY POOLING ALONG THIS BOUNDARY WILL SUPPORT DAILY HEAVY  
RAINFALL THREATS, PARTICULARLY FOR PARTS OF TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA  
WHERE WPC HAS HIGHLIGHTED SLIGHT RISK AREAS ON THE EXCESSIVE  
RAINFALL OUTLOOKS FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AND THEN EASTWARD  
TOWARDS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY FRIDAY. ADDITIONALLY, STORM  
PREDICTION CENTER HAS MOST OF TEXAS UNDER A MARGINAL RISK FOR  
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH INSTABILITY  
AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES LINGERING AROUND; HAZARDS WILL BE GUSTY  
WINDS AND HAIL. THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN WILL ALSO SEE SOME  
THUNDERSTORMS RIDE ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND BRING THREATS FOR  
SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN. WPC HAS A MARGINAL RISK FOR  
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACTIVE FOR WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST  
AND A SLIGHT RISK (LEVEL 2/4) ON THURSDAY AS THERE IS MORE  
CONFIDENCE IN A HIGHER QPF FOOTPRINT. FOR SEVERE WEATHER, THE  
STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND  
MIDWEST UNDER A MARGINAL RISK AS GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL COULD BE  
POSSIBLE WITH THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NEXY FEW DAYS. FLORIDA MAY  
ALSO SEEM LOCALLY HEAVY THUNDERSTORMS AND DOWNPOURS AS AMPLE  
TROPICAL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY BRING THE START TO THE RAINY  
SEASON UNDERWAY.  
 
RECORD HEAT ACROSS THE WEST SHOULD BEGIN TO SUBSIDE AS HIGH  
PRESSURE RIDGING BECOMES LESS PRONOUNCED. HIGH TEMPERATURES OUT  
WEST SHOULD LOWER TO THE 80S AND SOME LOW 90S OPPOSED TO THE 100S  
SEEN ON MONDAY AND THE WEEKEND. PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS MAY SEE  
TEMPERATURES STILL REACH THE LOW 100S ACROSS THE RIO GRANDE  
VALLEY, BUT CLOUDS AND RAINFALL SHOULD HAMPER THE EXTREME HEAT  
RISK. ELSEWHERE, THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN U.S. WILL BE SEASONABLE  
FOR EARLY JUNE WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S AND LOW 90S. THE  
NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST WILL BE ON THE COOLER SIDE NORTH  
OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S.  
 
WILDER  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab HPC Page
Main Text Page