446  
FXUS01 KWBC 110732  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
332 AM EDT WED JUN 11 2025  
 
VALID 12Z WED JUN 11 2025 - 12Z FRI JUN 13 2025  
 
...HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL LIKELY ACROSS PARTS OF TEXAS AND  
OKLAHOMA OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...  
 
...HOT WEATHER CONTINUES OUT WEST WITH SOME MODERATION ACROSS THE  
PACIFIC NORTHWEST...  
 
THE MAIN THING MAKING WEATHER HEADLINES THROUGH THE MIDDLE TO END  
OF THE WORK WEEK WILL BE THE WIDESPREAD COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS, WITH A  
PARTICULAR FOCUS ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN TEXAS, THE ARKLATEX  
REGION AND WESTERN LOUISIANA. MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF STORMS WITH  
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE FUELED BY A MOIST LOW LEVEL JET, AND  
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WILL SERVE AS  
FOCUSING MECHANISMS FOR ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF CONVECTION. THERE IS  
A HIGH LIKELIHOOD OF 2 TO 4 INCH RAINFALL TOTALS ACROSS MUCH OF  
THIS REGION THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING, WITH ISOLATED 4-6 INCH TOTALS  
WITHIN THE REALM OF POSSIBILITY. THEREFORE, A MODERATE RISK OF  
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL BE VALID FOR PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL  
TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY. SOME SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE  
HERE WITH THE HIGH INSTABILITY, AND THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER  
HAS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS.  
 
ANOTHER AREA OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO EXPECTED ACROSS  
PORTIONS OF THE UPPER MIDWEST, CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN MINNESOTA  
THURSDAY EVENING INTO EARLY FRIDAY WHERE 1 TO 2 INCHES IS  
CURRENTLY FORECAST. THIS MAY BE ENOUGH TO RESULT IN SOME  
LOCALIZED FLOODING ISSUES, AND WPC HAS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE  
RAINFALL FOR THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS.  
THIS WILL BE THE RESULT OF MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTH INTERSECTING A  
FRONTAL BOUNDARY PAIRED WITH A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCE  
MOVING THROUGH THE REGION.  
 
ANOMALOUS HEAT BY MID-JUNE STANDARDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH  
MID-WEEK ACROSS MUCH OF THE INTERIOR WESTERN U.S. AS AN UPPER  
LEVEL RIDGE GOVERNS THE OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN. THE MOST  
IMPACTFUL HEAT WILL BE ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE DESERT  
SOUTHWEST WHERE AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL REACH 105 TO 110 DEGREES, AND  
HEAT RISK REACHING THE MODERATE TO MAJOR CATEGORY. AFTERNOON  
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S ARE EXPECTED TO REACH AS FAR NORTH AS  
EASTERN WASHINGTON ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE A GRADUAL COOL-DOWN ENSUES  
FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.  
 
HAMRICK  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 
 
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