967  
FXUS01 KWBC 112001  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
400 PM EDT WED JUN 11 2025  
 
VALID 00Z THU JUN 12 2025 - 00Z SAT JUN 14 2025  
 
...HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL LIKELY ACROSS PARTS OF TEXAS AND  
OKLAHOMA OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...  
 
... THE PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST WILL SEE THUNDERSTORMS THAT WILL  
HAVE A FLOODING AND SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF  
DAYS...  
 
... GENERAL HOT WEATHER CONTINUES OUT WEST AND ACROSS THE  
MID-ATLANTIC THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK-WEEK  
 
THE MAIN THING MAKING WEATHER HEADLINES THROUGH THE MIDDLE TO END  
OF THE WORK WEEK WILL BE THE WIDESPREAD COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS, WITH A  
PARTICULAR FOCUS ACROSS EASTERN TEXAS, EASTERN OKLAHOMA, AND THE  
OZARKS REGION. MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF STORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL  
BE FUELED BY A MID-LEVEL LOW FORCING ATMOSPHERIC ASCENT NEAR THE  
PROXIMITY OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN THE REGION. THERE IS A HIGH  
LIKELIHOOD OF 2 TO 4 INCH RAINFALL TOTALS ACROSS MUCH OF THIS  
REGION THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING, WITH ISOLATED 4-6 INCH TOTALS  
WITHIN THE REALM OF POSSIBILITY. THEREFORE, THE WEATHER PREDICTION  
CENTER HAS A SLIGHT RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL (LEVEL 2/4) ON  
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY FOR THE AREAS MENTIONED ABOVE. THEN, ON  
SATURDAY THERE IS A BROAD MARGINAL RISK FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL  
ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO THE MID-ATLANTIC AS MOISTURE  
STREAMS IN FROM THE SOUTH AND INTERACTS WITH A FRONT DRAPED ACROSS  
THE OHIO VALLEY. SOME SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE  
ACROSS THE SOUTH TOMORROW WITH AMPLE INSTABILITY AND SOME SHEAR.  
THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS A MARGINAL RISK ACROSS TEXAS INTO  
THE ARKLATEX FOR THURSDAY FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS, AN  
ISOLATED TORNADO, AND PERHAPS SOME HAIL.  
 
ANOTHER AREA OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO EXPECTED ACROSS  
PORTIONS OF THE UPPER MIDWEST, CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN MINNESOTA  
THURSDAY EVENING INTO EARLY FRIDAY WHERE 1 TO 2 INCHES IS  
CURRENTLY FORECAST. THIS MAY BE ENOUGH TO RESULT IN SOME  
LOCALIZED FLOODING ISSUES, AND WPC HAS A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE  
RAINFALL FOR THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS.  
FRIDAY WILL CONTINUE TO SEE SOME ISOLATED HEAVY FLOODING POTENTIAL  
ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION AS THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE  
ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY PAIRED WITH A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE  
DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH THE REGION. MOREOVER, ADDITIONAL  
DISTURBANCES EJECTING ACROSS THE PLAINS WILL BRING A MARGINAL RISK  
FOR SEVERE WEATHER ON THURSDAY FROM COLORADO TO SOUTHERN  
MINNESOTA. STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP IN THE REGION WILL BE CAPABLE OF  
HAIL, DAMAGING WINDS, AND A TORNADO OR TWO. STORMS ARE THEN  
EXPECTED TO BECOME LINEAR AND CLUSTER FOR STRONG WIND POTENTIAL.  
ON FRIDAY, A SIMILAR PATTERN WILL REPEAT AS A SHORTWAVE BRINGS  
STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WINDS AND HAIL FROM THE PLAINS  
TO THE ROCKIES.  
 
WHILE RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES MAY NOT BE IN THE FORECAST, MOST OF  
THE INTERIOR WEST WILL SEE TEMPERATURES 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE  
AVERAGE FOR EARLY JUNE. HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOW  
90S WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL BE SEASONABLY HOT  
WITH HIGHS IN THE 100-110 RANGE POSSIBLE. AS FOR THE EAST COAST,  
SOME WARM AIR WILL CREEP INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION.  
TEMPERATURES COULD BE AROUND 5-10 DEGREES WARMER THAN AVERAGE FOR  
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AND APPROACH THE LOW 90S. D.C. IS LIKELY TO  
SEE THE FIRST OFFICIAL 90 DEGREE TEMPERATURE OF THE YEAR. THE COOL  
SPOT IN THE COUNTRY WILL BE NORTH OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN THE FAR  
NORTHERN PLAINS AND GREAT LAKES AREAS. HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE  
60S AND EVEN SOME UPPER 50S WILL BE POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY IN THE U.P.  
OF MICHIGAN AND WISCONSIN .  
 
HAMRICK/WILDER  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 

 
 
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