464  
FXUS01 KWBC 140659  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
258 AM EDT SAT JUN 14 2025  
 
VALID 12Z SAT JUN 14 2025 - 12Z MON JUN 16 2025  
 
...HEAVY TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL LIKELY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE  
PLAINS, MIDWEST, AND EAST INTO MONDAY...  
 
...SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS AND NORTHERN  
PLAINS THIS WEEKEND INTO MONDAY...  
 
...HEATWAVE CONTINUES FOR THE DESERT SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN  
ROCKIES WITH HIGHS REACHING THE 110S...  
 
WIDESPREAD COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE ROCKIES  
TO THE EAST COAST AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF A SLOW-MOVING DEEP LAYER  
CYCLONE WILL BE THE PRIMARY CAUSE OF HAZARDS THROUGH MONDAY.  
OTHER PLAYERS IN THE FLOW PATTERN NEAR THE LOWER 48 INCLUDE AN  
UPPER TROUGH OVER THE NORTHWEST AND STRENGTHENING RIDGING ACROSS  
NEW MEXICO AND VICINITY. A DEEP LAYER CYCLONE WILL DRIFT EASTWARD  
FROM THE MIDWEST TOWARDS THE APPALACHIANS, AND NEAR THE SURFACE  
LOW AND ITS ATTENDANT FRONTS WILL BE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN AN ANOMALOUSLY MOIST AIR MASS. THIS SETS THE  
STAGE FOR FLASH FLOODING. PORTIONS OF VIRGINIA AND NORTH CAROLINA  
WILL SEE FLASH FLOODING AS THE PRIMARY HAZARD. THE SOUTHERN  
PLAINS, CENTRAL PLAINS, AND MIDWEST, WILL BE A FOCUS FOR BOTH  
FLASH FLOODING AND SEVERE WEATHER HAZARDS THIS WEEKEND. ACROSS  
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND HIGH PLAINS, SEVERE WEATHER IS  
THE LARGER CONCERN THROUGH MONDAY DISTURBANCES ALOFT EJECTING  
EASTWARD AHEAD OF THE NORTHWESTERN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PLAY A ROLE  
IN INCREASING EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR WITHIN A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR  
MASS.  
 
IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE HOT AND DRY ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE  
INTERIOR WESTERN U.S. AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE STRENGTHENS. THE  
MOST IMPACTFUL HEAT WILL BE ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE  
DESERT SOUTHWEST WHERE AFTERNOON HIGHS REACH THE 110S; AN EXTREME  
HEAT WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION. THERE ARE  
ALSO ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN  
NEVADA AND NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA WHERE RED FLAG WARNINGS ARE IN  
EFFECT FOR SATURDAY.  
 
THE COOLEST AREAS IN THE COUNTRY WILL BE NORTH OF A FRONTAL  
BOUNDARY ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AREAS TO THE NORTHEAST, WITH  
REFRESHINGLY COOL CONDITIONS AND HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 70S AND 60S.  
SOUTH OF THE FRONT, ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL  
PLAINS, SOUTHEAST, AND GULF COAST, A SEASONABLY HOT AND HUMID  
AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE.  
 
ROTH  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 

 
 
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