005  
FXUS01 KWBC 200801  
PMDSPD  
 
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD  
401 AM EDT FRI JUN 20 2025  
 
VALID 12Z FRI JUN 20 2025 - 12Z SUN JUN 22 2025  
 
...STORMS, SOME SEVERE, MAY PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING OVER PORTIONS  
OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES TODAY...  
 
...THERE IS A CRITICAL RISK OF FIRE WEATHER OVER PARTS OF THE  
GREAT BASIN/FOUR CORNERS...  
 
...DANGEROUS HEAT EXPANDS FROM CENTRAL TO EASTERN U.S. THIS  
WEEKEND...  
 
A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM STATIONED OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS  
ACCOMPANIED BY QUASI-STATIONARY SURFACE FRONTS DRAPED ACROSS THE  
UPPER MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES WILL PROVIDE SUPPORT FOR  
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO  
PROPAGATE ACROSS NORTH DAKOTA THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO MINNESOTA  
TONIGHT WITH MCS POTENTIAL. THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER ISSUED AN  
ENHANCED RISK (LEVEL 3/5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF  
NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHERN MINNESOTA TODAY, WHERE TORNADOES, VERY  
STRONG WINDS AND VERY LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE. A SLIGHT RISK  
(AT LEAST 15%) OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL LEADING TO FLASH FLOODING IS  
IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN MINNESOTA/WISCONSIN WHERE  
MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF STORMS MAY MOVE ACROSS THE SAME AREAS THIS  
AFTERNOON/EVENING. EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE ALSO IN  
EFFECT FOR PARTS OF THE UPPER MIDWEST AND NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS  
WHERE RECORD HIGH MINIMUMS MAY BE REACHED TONIGHT--FUELING  
AFOREMENTIONED STORMS. SHORTWAVE ENERGY ROUNDING AN UPPER RIDGE  
WILL BRING ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL TO THE  
LOWER GREAT LAKES AND INTERIOR NORTHEAST ON SATURDAY.  
 
A DEEP UPPER-LEVEL LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE WEST THIS WEEKEND,  
BRINGING COOLER TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION AS WELL AS RENEWED FIRE  
WEATHER CONCERNS. THERE IS A CRITICAL RISK OF FIRES FOR PORTIONS  
OF THE GREAT BASIN AND FOUR CORNERS REGION THIS WEEKEND, DUE TO  
VERY DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS BENEATH THE BASE OF THE UPPER  
TROUGH. ELSEWHERE, AN UPPER RIDGE WILL AMPLIFY OVER THE EASTERN  
U.S. THIS WEEKEND, LEADING TO POTENTIAL RECORD TEMPERATURES AND  
HEAT RISK CONCERNS NEXT WEEK.  
 
KEBEDE  
 
GRAPHICS AVAILABLE AT  
HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/BASICWX/BASICWX_NDFD.PHP  
 

 
 
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